Rate Nintendo Direct - 03/08/18!

[Flilix]

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Flilix said:

They didn't just make these sales goals up with no reason, though. They know how well their games sell approximately, so they did the math and came to the conclusion that they could sell about 20 million. They know the full line up, so their prediction would probably be better than ours.

Remember, we don't know a single release date yet for August and beyond, and these are by far the biggest months of the year.

We may not know exact dates, but we do know most of the first party games that will be released in the second half of 2018.  Captain Toad, Smash Bros, Yoshi, Metroid Prime 4, and Fire Emblem have all been mentioned for 2018 release and they aren't coming in the first half.  That is already almost a game a month.  They may have another game or two as a surprise, but unless it is Pokemon or a huge port like GTA5, then I think they are going to be disappointed with their hardware sales.

 

I still think Pokémon is likely to be released this year. The Pokémon guy at E3 said: "It may still take more than a year until it gets released", which sounds like they're trying to make it a holiday 2018 game. It would also fit very well in the schedule, since they would probably want to release Smash together with the online service in September. If either Fire Emblem or Yoshi releases in August, and the other one in October, they would still need a big game for November. Pokémon would be perfect for that. Captain Toad and 3rd parties are just minor games to fill in the gaps, so these shouldn't be a problem. And Metroid Prime 4 will probably be released in 2019.

Of course, things may very well turn out completely differently, but I don't think this schedule is unlikely at all.