Rate Nintendo Direct - 03/08/18!

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Flilix said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Let me be clear that I mean that Switch hardware sales will be disappointing this year.  Kimishima will fall short of his hardware sales goals.  In 2017, Nintendo released 4 games that are selling extremely well: Zelda, 3D Mario, Mario Kart, and Splatoon 2.  This year the only game we know of that is off similar caliber is Smash Bros.  The first party library of 2018 pales in comparison to 2017.  Unless they have another big game ready, then hardware sales are going to be disappointing.

They didn't just make these sales goals up with no reason, though. They know how well their games sell approximately, so they did the math and came to the conclusion that they could sell about 20 million. They know the full line up, so their prediction would probably be better than ours.

Remember, we don't know a single release date yet for August and beyond, and these are by far the biggest months of the year.

We may not know exact dates, but we do know most of the first party games that will be released in the second half of 2018.  Captain Toad, Smash Bros, Yoshi, Metroid Prime 4, and Fire Emblem have all been mentioned for 2018 release and they aren't coming in the first half.  That is already almost a game a month.  They may have another game or two as a surprise, but unless it is Pokemon or a huge port like GTA5, then I think they are going to be disappointed with their hardware sales.

zorg1000 said:

Flilix said:

No, Kimishima said they wanted to sell 20 million in 2018 alone.

Im pretty sure that was referring to fiscal year shipments so April 2018-March 2019.

But even so we should wait until the next financial briefing when they give the official forcast.

True enough.  We won't know their official forecast until their next financial briefing.