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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Kimishima hopes to sell over 20M Nintendo Switch units next FY.

Miyamotoo on 29 December 2017
bonzobanana said:
As someone who can't really justify buying a Switch at current pricing as I only really want to play Mario Odyssey I'm hoping for a price cut. They need to do something in Europe as it hasn't been as successful as the US or Japan over here. I'm unsure at the moment how the Switch has faired over Christmas and how third party US and European titles are selling. Is interest in Switch rising, falling or stable? What are the levels of Switch owner's satisfaction with the console? Difficult to get the full picture at the moment. Also difficult to see if Nintendo are more motivated to maintain a high margin on the hardware or actually sell more units to generate more software sales. How sure are they of the success of their upcoming software titles?

My gut instinct is the Switch may not achieve those sales at current pricing and interest has waned slightly and it needs something to maintain momentum. That's looking from a UK perspective though and the US and Japan looks to to be on a different level.

I've not read many comments from owners saying how much they are using their Switches compared to other consoles if they own them too.

That's actually your problem, you are looking through the perspective of one of weakest Nintendo market in Europe, UK dont reprasaties nothing for Nintendo, talking about hardware and software sales, but even in UK Switch is selling good.



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bonzobanana on 29 December 2017
Miyamotoo said:
bonzobanana said:
As someone who can't really justify buying a Switch at current pricing as I only really want to play Mario Odyssey I'm hoping for a price cut. They need to do something in Europe as it hasn't been as successful as the US or Japan over here. I'm unsure at the moment how the Switch has faired over Christmas and how third party US and European titles are selling. Is interest in Switch rising, falling or stable? What are the levels of Switch owner's satisfaction with the console? Difficult to get the full picture at the moment. Also difficult to see if Nintendo are more motivated to maintain a high margin on the hardware or actually sell more units to generate more software sales. How sure are they of the success of their upcoming software titles?

My gut instinct is the Switch may not achieve those sales at current pricing and interest has waned slightly and it needs something to maintain momentum. That's looking from a UK perspective though and the US and Japan looks to to be on a different level.

I've not read many comments from owners saying how much they are using their Switches compared to other consoles if they own them too.

That's actually your problem, you are looking through the perspective of one of weakest Nintendo market in Europe, UK dont reprasaties nothing for Nintendo, talking about hardware and software sales, but even in UK Switch is selling good.

Europe loves Nintendo portables we just need them at lower prices. Europe will likely catch up with later sku's. I don't think the UK is the weakest market for Nintendo at all but certainly not the best in Europe. When the UK was out of stock of Switch's there were many other European markets that still had stock. I realise that is related to how much stock each country was given but UK stock allocation was no worse than elsewhere from memory probably higher than most. For now Europe is a weaker market for Switch than the US and Japan for sure but still selling well just not comparable to the huge success in Japan and US. I also think the paid online service will be perceived as more negative in Europe when its implemented. Also in the UK at least retailers were cautious and weren't giving the Switch much attention. It took a while for Game to really make any effort and still when you go in those stores much more space is allocated to PS4 and Xbox one. There could be a retailer factor and now as Switch has been proven to be successful shops will allocate more space to it. I can see Europe and UK being much closer to US Switch success in a year from now.



Miyamotoo on 30 December 2017
bonzobanana said:
Miyamotoo said:

That's actually your problem, you are looking through the perspective of one of weakest Nintendo market in Europe, UK dont reprasaties nothing for Nintendo, talking about hardware and software sales, but even in UK Switch is selling good.

Europe loves Nintendo portables we just need them at lower prices. Europe will likely catch up with later sku's. I don't think the UK is the weakest market for Nintendo at all but certainly not the best in Europe. When the UK was out of stock of Switch's there were many other European markets that still had stock. I realise that is related to how much stock each country was given but UK stock allocation was no worse than elsewhere from memory probably higher than most. For now Europe is a weaker market for Switch than the US and Japan for sure but still selling well just not comparable to the huge success in Japan and US. I also think the paid online service will be perceived as more negative in Europe when its implemented. Also in the UK at least retailers were cautious and weren't giving the Switch much attention. It took a while for Game to really make any effort and still when you go in those stores much more space is allocated to PS4 and Xbox one. There could be a retailer factor and now as Switch has been proven to be successful shops will allocate more space to it. I can see Europe and UK being much closer to US Switch success in a year from now.

Switch is selling good in Europe even if dont have same popularity like it has in US and Japan and thats not something unusual for Nintendo product, also fact is that UK is one of weakest Europe market for Nintendo if we talk about bigger Europe countries. US was always easily strongest market for Nintendo, we don't know currently where Switch sold better in Europe or Japan, but in Japan if look size of country definitely has much bigger popularity and that's expected. But in any case I think that price of Switch need to be on pair of US and Japan and thats 300e instead 330e curently.



Soundwave on 30 December 2017

They'll probably have the 1st Switch revision ready for about summer/fall next year, so that will help them with double dippers. 3DS got it's first revision about 15 months post-launch.

I think Smash, Pokemon, and Animal Crossing are happening next year too.



Jumpin on 30 December 2017
Pavolink said:
Jumpin said:

Breath of the Wild wrapped development February 3rd of this year. So it was only about a month before launch. I don’t know about Mario Odyssey.

Not really. They start the work of the next Zelda game even before it's finished the actual one. Of course it's not if full production, but general concepts or mechanics must have been tested already.

I am not denying that. I'd be surprised if the design team didn't have a well-developed concept done a year before launch.

I am only saying that Breath of the Wild did not finish very long before launch, it finished about a month before.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

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Jranation on 30 December 2017
XD84 said:
I still have the impression that some games that were planed to release on the Wii U were postponed to release on the Switch. Also I think that some games of last year (Zelda, Mario Odyssey) were finished developed some time before release day so that they would be released on the fitting moment.

Consequently in my opinion the Zelda team is already working on the new Zelda since around 1.5 years.

I also think of this as well. Animal Crossing should be in first half of 2018. 



Pocky Lover Boy! 

XD84 on 30 December 2017
Jranation said:
XD84 said:
I still have the impression that some games that were planed to release on the Wii U were postponed to release on the Switch. Also I think that some games of last year (Zelda, Mario Odyssey) were finished developed some time before release day so that they would be released on the fitting moment.

Consequently in my opinion the Zelda team is already working on the new Zelda since around 1.5 years.

I also think of this as well. Animal Crossing should be in first half of 2018. 

For me Aninal Crossing Switch is a sure thing too in 2018. That is one game that Nintendo for sure started to develope for the Wii U.



Podings on 30 December 2017

It'd be weird if he DIDN'T hope for that, after the official announcement that they will be manufacturing 30 million during that time.



Wman1996 on 30 December 2017

A realistic goal, but certainly not a given. Basically Nintendo needs to keep supply up, release Animal Crossing, keep pushing 3rd party, and hope that the 2017 releases will be evergreen (I have a feeling they will be).



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Pavolink on 30 December 2017
Jumpin said:
Pavolink said:

Not really. They start the work of the next Zelda game even before it's finished the actual one. Of course it's not if full production, but general concepts or mechanics must have been tested already.

I am not denying that. I'd be surprised if the design team didn't have a well-developed concept done a year before launch.

I am only saying that Breath of the Wild did not finish very long before launch, it finished about a month before.

Ups, sorry. Hehe

You are right. Iirc, they made even a party when they finished lr the game went gold and as you said, it was in february.



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