So, the Scorpio specs were revealed earlier today.  It turned out how I pretty much expected, a PS4 Pro +.  Definitely a good system for Xbox fans, but I don't think it's quite powerful enough to make too many cross the isle.  But, I digress, that isn't what this thread is about.  No, what I want to know is how much longer til we start hearing some concrete things about the PS5?

Personally, I think if the Scorpio had been a more powerful system, i.e. used a lower end Ryzen and was ~8 Tflops, like some were hoping, Sony may have been compelled to have some controlled leaks around its launch.  However, as things are, I think we will start hearing things around the same time as this gen.  As a refresher, I believe we started hearing some murmurs in late 2011.  It was in early 2012 when we started hearing some concrete things about the PS4 and XBO, then named Orbis and Durango.  So, I think we'll start hearing some more concrete things around early-mid 2018, as I fully expect the PS5 to launch Holiday '19, early '20 at the latest.

As for power, I also expect the PS5 to utilize the new Ryzen and Vega chips.  The PS4 uses a Jaguar CPU and a pared-down 7870 GPU.  The Jaguar launched the year the PS4 did, while the 7870 launched 2 years before it.  The Vega 10 launches this year, which would also be 2 years before the PS5.  And at 12.5 Tflops, probably 11-12 Tflops in the PS5 if it too is pared-down, that would be 6x-6.5x more powerful than an OG PS4, which is a good leap for next gen.  The Ryen 1700 is a significant upgrade over the Jaguar, where the Jaguar was not that big a leap over its predecessor, the Bobcat, in comparison.

Thoughts?

3 years hopefully

I'm sorry, but you will have to endure the "PlayStation isn't the most powerful home console" talks for quite some time before anything is heard about a PS5.

A long long time.

MS wont launch new hardware anytime soon after Scorpio, Sony is in the drivers seat.

I'd say it'll be announced mid-late 2019, release holiday 2020. Sony aren't in a position where they have to react to Microsoft releasing the Scorpio.

there is no reason to rush it, I would be fine waiting until holiday 2020

they have a massive install base already, loads of big exclusives on the way and they are not going to panic because they won't have the most powerful console for a few years

I think we will start hearing leaks around late 2018 early 2020 and I could see MS having scorpio 2 2021.

Based on the revealed Scorpio specs, I don't see PS4 or Pro having a problem whatsoever continuing their domination for the rest of this gen.

PS does not have to announce PS5 early and potentially hinder current console sales because of it, they can wait as long as they like.

I would guess legit leaks start immediately in 2019 and then PS can have another February/March reveal, then show everything at E3 2019, with a holiday 2019 launch.

If I upgraded my PS4 to a Pro I'd be pretty pissed if Sony started leaking PS5 stuff a year later. PS5 shouldn't come until 2019 at the earliest. Same for Xbox One Two.

around 20 months from now it'll start leaking. Will come out November 2019