I think it will do about as well as the 3DS (maybe a bit better, maybe a bit worse) from where I'm standing right now, but it's hard if not impossible to make any kind of reasonable prediction at this point. Just too many unknowns.
Are we even sure Nintendo is going to handle the hardware in a traditional manner? What happens if there's a Switch 2 ... in like 2 years? What happens if they adopt an upgrade model more akin to tablets or smartphones? Old model becomes the cheaper budget model, new model rakes in new adopters, software library works on all devices.