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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Will the NX outsell the WiiU?

If it's just a home console: 20-25 million LTD

If it's home console + handheld: 70-75 million LTD



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Soundwave said:
Jumpin said:

Nintendo went from 20 to 100 million between GameCube and Wii, so it is possible to see jumps that high, possibly higher. A 5X jump to NX would mean about 70 million. It'll be interesting if NX can beat the Cube to Wii improvement.

Strong software is key. Wii had: Zelda, Wii Sports, Super Mario Galaxy, and Metroid Prime 3 in its year 1, and that was alongside a bunch of other games. Immediately Wii's year 1 was Nintendo's strongest year of releases ever. Nintendo needs a  repeat of Wii year 1 for NX.

That isn't really what drove Wii sales though. 

GameCube arguably had an equal/better 1st year of Nintendo franchise software vs. the Wii (not counting the Wii casual fare):

Super Smash Bros. Melee, Super Mario Sunshine, Metroid Prime, Luigi's Mansion, Pikmin, Animal Crossing, Star Fox Adventures, Eternal Darkness, Wave Race: Blue Storm, NBA Courtside 2002

vs.

Super Mario Galaxy, Metroid Prime 3, Zelda: TP (GCN port), Super Paper Mario, Wario Ware: Smooth Moves, Fire Emblem, Excite Truck, Mario Party, Mario Strikers, Battallion Wars Wii

It's a wash at best, yet Wii had much higher sales.

I think NX must have some really appreciable new element about it. It doesn't have to be some casual chasing gimmick but it needs to be something that clearly differeniates it next to a PS4/XB1/Wii U. But unlike the Wii, they can't gimp the chipset, it needs to be powerful otherwise developers will not support it, it should be at minimum equal to the PS4 and upgradable perhaps to PS4.5 levels.

IMO the Gamecube was the best home console nintendo ever made.

 

Wii was by far the worst (excluding Virtual Boy), too many games ruined with waggle.

 

Also gamecube had Windwaker and the best version of Twilight Princess.

Meanwhile the Wii had.... Skyward Sword...



Well, the bar is already set pretty low. I think its definitely capable, but if it doesn't then I think its going to cause a pretty nasty reaction within the company.



Depends on the console's controller.



Yeah, it'll def do better than the Wii U. You can't follow up with anything worse than that, unless Ninten is blind and deaf, but I'm certain they're def not.



 

              

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Stefan.De.Machtige said:
spemanig said:
It'll outsell a lot more than that.

You're always very positive about the NX. Why would you think it will outsell the Wii U by a lot?

Sure it may happen. The Wii at least proves that point, but i haven't seen Nintendo learn lessons in doing better yet. Even a digital only NX won't do the trick by itself :p.

I'm not 100% positive on it. I'm just positive about the hardware and firmware because the picture Nintendo has painted about it since early 2014 has made it clear what it will look like, and that's going to make for a very foreward-thinking platform that I think will be evolutionary for how the world thinks about consoles, the same way smart phones changed the way the world thinks about phones.

I mean, digital only isn't the selling point. It's just the glue that keeps NX together.



KLXVER said:
Dulfite said:

Regardless, the Nintendo base was never as high as it was with NES and SNES. There were a lot of people gaming on those devices due to the 3rd parties.

I guess, but it seems like Mario, Zelda, Metroid, DK etc...are the games people bring up when remembering those consoles.

True, I won't deny that. Nintendo 1st party does much better when it has third party support (because that increases hardware sales, thereby increasing 1st party softeware sales as well). But once 3rd parties started abandoning Nintendo a lot of those neutral gamers went with them to whatever device would play their stuff (ps1/2/3 and xbox/xbox360).



Dulfite said:
KLXVER said:

I guess, but it seems like Mario, Zelda, Metroid, DK etc...are the games people bring up when remembering those consoles.

True, I won't deny that. Nintendo 1st party does much better when it has third party support (because that increases hardware sales, thereby increasing 1st party softeware sales as well). But once 3rd parties started abandoning Nintendo a lot of those neutral gamers went with them to whatever device would play their stuff (ps1/2/3 and xbox/xbox360).

and most of them declined in quality. Few exeptions of course.



Let's hope so. Nintendo has to get back to making quality AAAs on the reg.



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It should outsell WiiU unless Nintendo pushes the wrong buttons again.