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Forums - Gaming Discussion - RubberWhistleHistle: PS4 to sell 80M, Wii U to sell 55M, X1 to sell 38.7M lifetime

Last generarion we saw the biggest spike in sales that we are ever going to see, so it is safe to say that this generation will have totals that are considerably less 

As for the PS4, it is pacing a bit below the Wii did, and will probably last on the market for about 6 years. The peak year for this system will be 2016. Do math and extrapolate numbers, and you will get something that is around 80M units.

As far as Wii U is concerned, I think people are really starting to see the magic. With Splatoon and Super Mario Maker exceeding people's expectations, I think we are likely to see a pretty big spike next year, and when it's all said and done, this console will top out somewhere between 50 and 55 million units sold. 2017 will be it's peak year.

Xbox one has the roughest go of things though, unfortunately. With the rising popularity of tablets and idevices, people aren't really going to see the need or appeal for Xbox one. Football season is starting, and everybody can already watch football on their smartphones, so this system is really only going to appeal to the dedicated fans who want to watch football AND play halo. 

 

 

I'm a damn good market analyst if I don't say so myself



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I have to ask because you did admit it last time, are you drunk?

Or else I'm assuming this is a joke thread.



Patcher 2.0



TheGoldenBoy said:
I have to ask because you did admit it last time, are you drunk?

Or else I'm assuming this is a joke thread.


Nah, I'm not drunk this time. I'm just analyzing the market. 



Look...
We have to talk.
Splatoon and Mario Maker are not going to carry the Wii U. Good games they might be, but libraries carry consoles not games, and without the third party library, its not even in the running.
I don't like to make numbers, but the Wii U would be lucky to hit 20 - 25 mil
As for XB1, I'd lower it to a bout 40 mil (35 mill US)
and for PS4 I'd say 65 - 70 mill with 75 being optimistic



In this day and age, with the Internet, ignorance is a choice! And they're still choosing Ignorance! - Dr. Filthy Frank

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Worse than Pachters prediction



DerNebel said:
Worse than Pachters prediction

Why don't you try to analyze the market. It's not as easy as it might seem. 



Bookmarked for future entertainment



Nintendo is selling their IPs to Microsoft and this is true because:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=221391&page=1

A lot of you guys like to criticize our predictions, but you don't know what goes into making these predictions. Yes, my numbers very well could be off, but I'm basing this on the current evidence and facts about the market.

Analyzing the market is more than just pulling numbers out of your ass, guys. 



Hmm. Well your analysis seems to only factor in the current trend as opposed to looking at historical data, and you're extrapolating that to make predictions without enough data to a ridiculous level. From a statistical side therefore I can't see how you could do any time series analysis or forecasting to arrive at those predictions, so I'm not sure if they hold water to me.

Ofcourse, on the other hand commonsense tells me that there's no way the U will get that high, even half. But I'd love to be proved wrong so feel free to quote me in 7 years to rub my face in it if you're right.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.