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Official VGChartz ACCOUNTABILITY thread - Failed Predictions & Crow-eating

Forums - Gaming Discussion - Official VGChartz ACCOUNTABILITY thread - Failed Predictions & Crow-eating

So, as the title suggests, this thread will serve as a meta thread of all the prediction threads on VGChartz from here on out.  So long as there are predictions, this thread will be active*. A prediction will be considered FAILED once we've reached the time stamp set within the thread (i.e. a specified year, month, etc)**. 

*I could not find any of John Lucas' predictions (thanks Badgenome).  If you have a link for those, please send them my way to be included in the thread.  Same for any predictions Avinash and Mike B.  Their predictions might've been made in a thread but not one they specifically created for said prediction.  I also remember a 'LBP will be HUGE' thread but don't remember who posted it (leo-j?).

 

Just to start things off, we'll have a look at some classic predictions that went horribly wrong in the very recent past:

Preditcion: The end of the Wii  - by leo-j

Excerpt:  "GTA 4 will kill the wii, and sales will drop for the system, the 360 will seem like its made a huge comeback and likely outsell the wii World wide (with the exception of japan) as for the PS3 I will say it will fall under the 360 and probably match wii sales world wide... This is my prediction, GTA will kill the wii."

 

Nintendo Wii will see regular 1,000,000 per month sales in U.S. - by johnlucas

Excerpt: "The Wii will eventually see REGULAR, HABITUAL, COMMON sales of 1,000,000 per month more or less in the United States of America. Not a fluke of a million or holiday seasonal millions but regular year, all year monthly sales totals of 1 million, 900 thousand, 1 million 100 thousand."

I return once more with a.. PREDICTION! - by leo-j

Excerpt: "So what is my prediction!?

I predict... The Playstation 3 and Xbox 360 will outsell the Nintendo Wii holidays 2010, and most of 2011."

 

Wii Fit will trump Halo 3's opening week sales - by johnlucas

Excerpt: "Halo 3 did TREMENDOUS sales on its opening days. ABSOLUTELY TREMENDOUS. RECORD-BREAKING and awe-inspiring... Wii Fit in Japan *alone* will TRUMP the godsmacking sales of Halo 3 on its opening week."

 

Prediction: PS3 will sell 100 mln. by the end of 2012 - by CrazzyMan

Excerpt: "In next 4 years PS3 will sell on AVERAGE 20 mln. per year... Do not underestimate PLAYSTATION BRAND. =)"

 

To those who don't understand my 60 million in 2008 prediction - by johnlucas

Excerpt: "In the end all this will put Nintendo at 60 million by the end of 2008. Japan will be on fire. The Americas will be on fire. And the way things are going Europe & PALs will be on fire. They are going to have to meet all this demand... I see 500 Million as a territory when this is all said and done. It will break all records and all conventions and all rules and all modes of thought.

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**PENDING PREDICTIONS (i.e. eligible candidates for epic failure but in all fairness we must give them some more time)

PS Vita to be the number one selling console/handheld in the new gen - by Gilgamesh

Excerpt: "I've said it many times Nintendo has held the handheld crown for far to long the Vita is hear and it's a force to reckon with. What with the perfect controls to a handheld gaming device, great new app features and some of the top graphics out there it's only a matter of time before it begins to outsell the competition... Now I can see the 3DS market drying up within a few years, there main seller is the 3D and there really isn't much potential there, a lot of complaints of head aches and limiting age group... And honestly I dunno how long Nintendo can keep up the remakes and sequels to the same games they have, how many more decades are people going to buy basically the same game with updated graphics."

Playstation All-Stars Battle Royale will outsell Smash Bros - by Gilgamesh

Excerpt: "Playstation All-Star's Battle Royale. I believe that ASBR is going to be able to outsell Nintendos original SSB which sold a very respectable 5.55 million. Sony should be able to get over 3 - 4 million by years end (if it has an early holiday release) and throught 2013 outselling it."

 

 




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Reserved.



Again... just in case. PS4 & NextBox are sure to generate a lot of predictions!



"I see that he smells what I'm cooking when I say lifetime sales of Wii will be AT BARE BOTTOM, VERY LEAST, MINIMUM of 240 Million units sold. I see 500 Million as a territory when this is all said and done. It will break all records and all conventions and all rules and all modes of thought." - John Lucas



Some pretty epic threads there!

One that comes to mind is ToastBoy's prediction that Kinect would sell over 20m units. THEY THOUGHT HE WAS CRAZY!



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"The Wii will eventually see REGULAR, HABITUAL, COMMON sales of 1,000,000 per month more or less in the United States of America. Not a fluke of a million or holiday seasonal millions but regular year, all year monthly sales totals of 1 million, 900 thousand, 1 million 100 thousand.

Somebody call Dr. Evil: ONE MILLION Wiis per month sold in the U.S. of A."

 

"This number has been in my head since January and I debated upon documenting it but it keeps flashing in my mind so I can no longer ignore it. And best to put it down now before April gets here.

4.1 million.

4,100,000.

Four million one hundred thousand of Wiis produced worldwide per month from April 1, 2008 to March 31, 2009, Nintendo's 2009 fiscal year.

Four point one million per month is the number.

John Lucas"

 

Avinash_Tyagi predictions:

  1. Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchise
  2. Lifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 
  3. Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 
  4. Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)
  5. Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)


And no agendas were pushed in this thread.



Ongoing bet with think-man: He wins if MH4 releases in any shape or form on PSV in 2013, I win if it doesn't.

John Lucas: "Wii Fit in Japan *alone* will TRUMP the godsmacking sales of Halo 3 on its opening week."




Some epictastic failures. I bet they wish "Delete Thread" was an option!



pezus said:

John Lucas: "Wii Fit in Japan *alone* will TRUMP the godsmacking sales of Halo 3 on its opening week."


Thanks, pezus!

Now gimme links to the Avinash threads please.  :)  Also, try to diversify and look for the MikeB and CrazzyMan predictions too.  :p

EDIT: Will update OP shortly...