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Forums - Gaming - Predictions For 2010

Kantor on 10 January 2010
DirtyP2002 said:

btw:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=95929

Anyway:

So, here we go:

  1. Wii won't make it to 50% market share at any time
  2. Splinter Cell Conviction will sell 2.5 millions in 2010, lifetime 3 million +
  3. Alan Wake will sell close more than 1 million units in 2010. Lifetime 2 million
  4. GTA IV episodes will sell 1.5 million
  5. Mass Effect 2 will outsell Mass Effect 1 lifetime, but not in 2010. This takes a little bit longer.
  6. MAG will sell 1 million copies
  7. Halo Reach will sell more than 3.3 million first week
  8. Final Fantasy XIII will sell 9 million (both consoles combined + 2009 sales in Japan)
  9. There will be 30 million Xbox Live users in 2010. (gold + silber)
  10. Zelda Wii will be AAA
  11. There will be 5 million natal sold in 2010.
  12. Gears of War 3 will be announced for 2011
  13. There will be more than 10 million Xbox 360s sold in 2010
  14. Xbox 360 will outsell the PS3
  15. Wii will dominate, but not as huge as before.
  16. Crackdown 2 will sell 1.5 million
  17. The Xbox 360 will sell more software than the PS3 in 2010.
  18. MS will release a war-game. Might take place in Afghanistan or Iraq.... or a fictitious modernwar against terror.
  19. There will be more than 1 million downloads for each modern warfare 2 mappack on Xbox Live.
  20. Rare will release at least 2 games in 2010
  21. Resistance 3 will be announced.

If I say nothing, then I'm in agreement.

5) I think it could sell the 2.5 million required in 2010 alone.

6) It can do more than that, IMO. Look at the pre-orders.

7) Could do, but might be lower.

8) No way.

9) Probably more than that.

10) I agree, but Khuutra doesn't.

11) That could be a tad high, depending on the price. Perhaps too loq.

14) This means war

15) Agreed. The HD twins are going to have a great year next year, and I'm guessing HD Combined > Wii for 2010. I'll add that in later.

17) It always does that. Come on.

18) I don't think so. Middle-East games are a nono, unless they take place in Fictitioustan. Oddly enough, games in Russia are fine, despite the USA actually having no feud with Russia.

 



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c0rd on 10 January 2010

Alright, I'll throw some out, nice to have it all on one thread (for better or worse, if they suck)...

All predictions are for the end of 2010 (week ending Jan 1 2010):

1) Wii - 86.5m

2) DS - 149m

3) X360 - 47.5m

4) PS3 - 43.5m

5) Top 10 selling software by yearly VGC data, will consist of (in my best effort for order):
Wii Sports, NSMB Wii, Wii Fit+, Pokemon HG/SS, WSR, Halo Reach, GT5, Wii Vitality, CoD7(360), MK Wii

6) 360 version of Modern Warfare 2 will be > 1m under Halo 3

7) Halo Reach will sell more than GT5

8) Epic Mickey (Wii) will sell over 1.5mil

9) In the Americas, FFXIII for the 360 will outsell the PS3 version

10) Wii will outsell the PSP in Japan for the year

11) In Others, GT5 will become the top selling PS3 title (overtaking MW2 and GTA4's lifetimes)

12) In Americas, GT5 will not make the top 10 selling software by yearly VGC data (even without Wii Sports)

13) Mario Kart Wii will outsell SMG2 for the year (edit: had 2 #12's, fixed)

14) Mario Kart DS will hit 20mil

15) DQIX will hit 6mil, MH3 will hit 2mil (hits in the west!)

16) KH3 will not be announced! *shock*


Well, that's enough I think. Some risky ones here and there, we'll see how it goes.



Demotruk on 10 January 2010
c0rd said:

Alright, I'll throw some out, nice to have it all on one thread (for better or worse, if they suck)...

All predictions are for the end of 2010 (week ending Jan 1 2010):

1) Wii - 86.5m

2) DS - 149m

3) X360 - 47.5m

4) PS3 - 43.5m

5) Top 10 selling software by yearly VGC data, will consist of (in my best effort for order):
Wii Sports, NSMB Wii, Wii Fit+, Pokemon HG/SS, WSR, Halo Reach, GT5, Wii Vitality, CoD7(360), MK Wii

6) 360 version of Modern Warfare 2 will be > 1m under Halo 3

7) Halo Reach will sell more than GT5

8) Epic Mickey (Wii) will sell over 1.5mil

9) In the Americas, FFXIII for the 360 will outsell the PS3 version

10) Wii will outsell the PSP in Japan for the year

11) In Others, GT5 will become the top selling PS3 title (overtaking MW2 and GTA4's lifetimes)

12) In Americas, GT5 will not make the top 10 selling software by yearly VGC data (even without Wii Sports)

12) Mario Kart Wii will outsell SMG2 for the year

13) Mario Kart DS will hit 20mil

14) DQIX will hit 6mil, MH3 will hit 2mil (hits in the west!)

15) KH3 will not be announced! *shock*


Well, that's enough I think. Some risky ones here and there, we'll see how it goes.

10 is a good one, it'll be amazing and funny if 12 comes true, as SMG2 will no doubt be a massive seller.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

retroking1981 on 10 January 2010

1) Wii: 17m in 2010 = 82m total
2) X360: 14m = 51m
3) PS3: 18m = 49m
4) PSP: 11m = 66m
5) DS: 25m - 150m



darthdevidem01 on 10 January 2010
retroking1981 said:
1) Wii: 17m in 2010 = 82m total
2) X360: 14m = 51m
3) PS3: 18m = 49m
4) PSP: 11m = 66m
5) DS: 25m - 150m

We asked for daring predictions, but not impossible ones

{cackles like a hyena that just got laid}



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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retroking1981 on 10 January 2010
darthdevidem01 said:
retroking1981 said:
1) Wii: 17m in 2010 = 82m total
2) X360: 14m = 51m
3) PS3: 18m = 49m
4) PSP: 11m = 66m
5) DS: 25m - 150m

We asked for daring predictions, but not impossible ones

{cackles like a hyena that just got laid}

 

ill stand by my irrational predictions and eat my hat if im wrong


killeryoshis on 10 January 2010
retroking1981 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
retroking1981 said:
1) Wii: 17m in 2010 = 82m total
2) X360: 14m = 51m
3) PS3: 18m = 49m
4) PSP: 11m = 66m
5) DS: 25m - 150m

We asked for daring predictions, but not impossible ones

{cackles like a hyena that just got laid}

 

ill stand by my irrational predictions and eat my hat if im wrong


I hope you get a good tasteing hat. Any reason you think that would happen?



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BHR-3 on 10 January 2010

Here we go


Wii 69.9 mill

Ps3 33.8 mill

360 38.6 mill



Ps3 will beat the Wii in HW sales in Japan at least 10 weeks in 09

PS3 will beat the Wii in WW HW sales at least 4 weeks in 09

PS3 will have a 300$ or less price tag b4 09 ends

PS3 will have a new sku b4 09 ends

PS3's gap to 360 will never be larger than 9,238,829 in 09

PS3's gap against 360 will be less than 5,883,984 b4 09 ends

PS3's gap against 360 in EU or Total Other will be less than 400k b4 09 ends

PS3 will outsell the 360 in WW HW in November and December of 09

PS3 will have at least 1 week were it well sell 1 mill or more HW WW

PS3's RE5 will have a better 1st week than the 360's WW

PS3's RE5 will sell more than the 360 by the end of 09

RE5 on the PS3 will sell over 1 mill WW in its 1st week

Wii will not reach 50% in 09

Leo-j won't have a VGC debt by the end of 09



                                                             

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Carl on 10 January 2010

@ BHR...

Wrong year



                            

Hisiru on 11 January 2010

My unreal predictions for 2010:
-Just Dance 2 announced for the xbox 360 and PS3 using stunning HD graphics!
-Just Dance 2 selling more than Halo 3 on both platforms (first week)
-DS Fingers announced (similar to Wii Fit, but now you can exercise your fingers!!!!!!)
-DS Sports announced (Now you will be able to play one of the best selling games on the go!)
-EA Sports Active 2 announced exclusively for the PS3!
-GTA5 exclusively for the Wii using motion plus
-DS2 announced + Huge launch titles like GTA: San Andreas Story, Pikmin 1 & 2, Mario RPG 2, Crysis Portable, Final Fantasy VI remake and Mario Sunshine 2
-Natal will give more power for the x360, so it can run Crysis 5 (yes, they will announce 3 Crysis games at this year's E3, one for the PS3, one for the PSP and one for the xbox360)
-Apple will announce a powerful handheld... with buttons!
-Microsoft will sell Rare for Nintendo
-Patcher will say that the WiiHD isn't coming any time soon

More to come... and soon my "real predictions for 2010"