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Forums - Sales - Pachter : I'm TROUBLED by Lackluster Uncharted 2 SALES!

I just can't get over the fact that we have a thread about something Pachter said, with people using that as a springboard for their arguments, even after ioi has posted in the thread saying he has confidence in his numbers.

One for the record books?



 

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darthdevidem01 said:
Carl2291 said:
ioi is happy with the numbers.

There is nothing more to say really.

The game is selling really well, it is Game of the Year, it deserves the sales it's having...

@darth, NPD is not the law. Get over it.

get over what?

It seems most people have taken this far too seriously, from thinking I hate uncharted 2 to thinking I'm loosing sleep over this

Get over the fact you were way off on your prediction, which seems to be your whole reason for making the thread.

The numbers wont be adjusted anytime soon, ioi is happy with them.

It will be over 2m with the next update, and close to or over 2.5 by January.



                            

*SIGH*

Ok, I'm here to put in my two cents... If we look a VGC data, we will see that the first 6 weeks of data have Uncharted 2 at 796746 copies sold in "Americas" not the USA (Where the FUCK did this 881k figure I'm reading about come from?)

When this article was written, they took into account NPD data up until November, which had Uncharted 2 at 650000 copies sold.

Now, using basic math...

796746 - 650000 = 146746 copies sold

Are you telling me... the rest of the Americas are incapable of making up 147k copies?

Assuming VGC has a 10% margin of error ... 146746*.10 = 14674.6

IMO Uncharted 2 can be over tracked by not much more than 15k copies... What the hell is the big deal about that? It's fairly clear the game will sell over 2mil copies before 2010, and from what we've seen, will have good legs into 2010, 3mil + possible.



steverhcp02 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
steverhcp02 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
 

No I say I will be closer all said & done, I'm not saying I'm closer now

I'm saying I will be closer than they were when all is said & done

PSrock still hasn't answered my question....I'm waiting, how am I hating on uncharted 2

So youre saying a game that will sell roughly 2.2 million by years end, after 10 weeks will not sell 300k more in its lifetime?

Okay.

I said 2 - 2.5 Million

The opposing side 3 - 4 Million

If the game sells 3 Million

my low end is 1 million away, their high end is 1 Million away

it would need to sell over 3 Million for me to be further off

Wait, what? youre taking your low end vs their high end, you need to take low vs low, i cant continue this debate, good luck with your predictions.

They have a million worth of range, I'm doing what is statistically fair, one one hand they have double the chance of being close

They get an advantage, so on the other hand I get one, nothings free in this world

thank you for your wishes

most of all thank you for helping to take this thread past 100 posts, the UnReal Corporation thanks you!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Alic0004 said:
I just can't get over the fact that we have a thread about something Pachter said, with people using that as a springboard for their arguments, even after ioi has posted in the thread saying he has confidence in his numbers.

One for the record books?

Do those books have offical NPD numbers in them? If not, then they aren't fact!

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CGI-Quality said:
Barozi said:
CGI-Quality said:
Barozi said:
CGI-Quality said:
Barozi said:
CGI-Quality said:
Barozi said:
Well yes for a GOTY it underperformed in the US, but I don't think he is aware of the European numbers.
It also will have nice legs.

How should it have performed? I never understand this "underperformed" talk. Underperformed compared to what?

Better. It's a shooter, one of the best reviewed games of all time, hyped..... just better.

 

When we look at NPD numbers, UC2 barely out performs Borderlands (360) in the US. Not that, what you would expect from a GOTY winner and sequel to a very good exclusive game.

No. It isn't a shooter in the eyes of those who buy it, it wasn't even marketed as a shooter. So, since you can't tell me what expectations actually matter here, outside of Naughty Dog, the answer is it "underperformed" by standards of people on VG Chartz gaming forum.

Naughty Dog expects  to just sell 2.5mill copies total. The game is well on it's way to pass that. It performed BETTER than they expected. That's what I'll go by.

A shooter is a shooter. If GTA didn't have any shooter elements almost no one would buy it.

If ND expected to win several GOTY awards and only sell 2.5m copies, then they clearly had too low expectations.

Valve surely didn't release the possibly best shooter of the century just to barely break even.

GTA nor Uncharted are shooters. There's shooting in them, but there are not known as shooters, period!

As for Naughty Dog, how do you know what breaking even is or not? We don't know that. Also, predicting 2.5mill is in line with what the first one has done. It was a realistic prediction. It just so happens that Uncharted 2 ended up being one of the greatest games this gen has seen.Naughty Dog, you, me, nor anyone else could have predicted that to happen, let alone it getting GOTY.

That is why it will shatter their expectations.

Neither is Gears of War. It's a post-apocalyptic, squad based exploration game with sporadic gunfights.

Well, Gears is primarily shooting, unlike Uncharted or GTA. Not really comparable.

I don't know what you did in Uncharted 2, but I shot bad guys in the majority of the time.



Demotruk said:
richardhutnik said:

I remember ZP's rant about how the videogame industry and videogamers lust to be like the movie industry in regards to cultural influence and mass appeal.  The Uncharted series play off this in a big way, and feeds right into it.  Uncharted, due to its nature, is hoped to be far more than just a really good videogame (even if it is derivative and familiar).  It has to be a game changer, that makes the masses take videogames more seriously as a means of storytelling.  The industry actually wants people who don't play, to watch Uncharted 2 being played and think it is a movie, like the way the PS3 ads show.

Bingo.

One of the things I found troubling regarding the Uncharted 2 talk, is how people were making it out to be a reason why the PS3 was selling better.  People here bought into the hype also, having Uncharted 2 being a reason for the increase in sales.  People expect it to be such, because it is a high quality title.  People then expect that means that people who don't own PS3s will buy a PS3 just to play it as a top reason.  I believe God of War 3 is likely in that category.  Some people also made Killzone 2 out to be such.  And now, there is lamenting that Uncharted 2 isn't doing Modern Warfare 2 level buzz saleswise (or even half of it, say Gears of War).

People are actually upset that Borderlands (FPS-RPG hybrid) is doing as well as it has?

I am curious what is wrong with Uncharted 2 doing 2-3 million in sales, getting a movie deal, and getting another game in the series?  Say it becomes a franchise title to own if you have a Playstation system (like Ratchet and Clank) even if it isn't a reason alone to go out and buy a Playstation system?  Isn't that good enough?



Carl2291 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Carl2291 said:
ioi is happy with the numbers.

There is nothing more to say really.

The game is selling really well, it is Game of the Year, it deserves the sales it's having...

@darth, NPD is not the law. Get over it.

get over what?

It seems most people have taken this far too seriously, from thinking I hate uncharted 2 to thinking I'm loosing sleep over this

Get over the fact you were way off on your prediction, which seems to be your whole reason for making the thread.

The numbers wont be adjusted anytime soon, ioi is happy with them.

It will be over 2m with the next update, and close to or over 2.5 by January.

no thats not the reason I made this thread

re-read the thread & OP, then make accusations

And I wasn't as way off on my prediction as you will be on your PS3 & 360 weekly hardware gap prediction

you made that prediction in one of the worldwide sales up threads



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

darthdevidem01 said:
steverhcp02 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
steverhcp02 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
 

No I say I will be closer all said & done, I'm not saying I'm closer now

I'm saying I will be closer than they were when all is said & done

PSrock still hasn't answered my question....I'm waiting, how am I hating on uncharted 2

So youre saying a game that will sell roughly 2.2 million by years end, after 10 weeks will not sell 300k more in its lifetime?

Okay.

I said 2 - 2.5 Million

The opposing side 3 - 4 Million

If the game sells 3 Million

my low end is 1 million away, their high end is 1 Million away

it would need to sell over 3 Million for me to be further off

Wait, what? youre taking your low end vs their high end, you need to take low vs low, i cant continue this debate, good luck with your predictions.

They have a million worth of range, I'm doing what is statistically fair, one one hand they have double the chance of being close

They get an advantage, so on the other hand I get one, nothings free in this world

thank you for your wishes

most of all thank you for helping to take this thread past 100 posts, the UnReal Corporation thanks you!

ummm no, i dont think fairness is being able to change a prediction after 6 weeks of sales.

You said 2-2.5 they said 3-4 the range doesnt matter if youre ranges do not cross. There is no grey area, if it sells less than 2.5 million youre right, if it sells more than 3 million theyre right.

 



darthdevidem01 said:
Carl2291 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Carl2291 said:
ioi is happy with the numbers.

There is nothing more to say really.

The game is selling really well, it is Game of the Year, it deserves the sales it's having...

@darth, NPD is not the law. Get over it.

get over what?

It seems most people have taken this far too seriously, from thinking I hate uncharted 2 to thinking I'm loosing sleep over this

Get over the fact you were way off on your prediction, which seems to be your whole reason for making the thread.

The numbers wont be adjusted anytime soon, ioi is happy with them.

It will be over 2m with the next update, and close to or over 2.5 by January.

no thats not the reason I made this thread

re-read the thread & OP, then make accusations

And I wasn't as way off on my prediction as you will be on your PS3 & 360 weekly hardware gap prediction

you made that prediction in one of the worldwide sales up threads

Your first post in the thread kinda gave away your intentions...

The difference is im not on some crusade to try make mine right. Im happy with the sales and im not disputing them...