Splinter Cell, Alan Wake, Mass Effect, Halo Reach and Fable III are all great games, but they won't push consoles. Most of these titles are the second, or third iteration of the series which have already appeared on the 360. Everyone who want these games have already bought a 360. Mass Effect and Halo Reach may produce a 20,000-50,000 boost in hardware, but that will be its first week. Natal on the other hand could help boost interest in the 360.

Sony has lined up Gran Turismo 5 (7 million+), and God of War 3 (3 million+) early in the year, they will push consoles. This is the first time these series will appear on the console in all its glory. There hasn't been full games from these series in years. The excitement and demand is there.

The gap will be around 5.25 million by the first week of January 2010. I think it could go down to 3-4 million by Q4 2010 depending on how many consoles Gran Turismo 5 and God of War 3 move. From there it is all a matter on the success of Natal. Will it be enough to push the 360 over the PS3 once again. I think Sony has done a good job of putting big games in H1 2010 to take advantage of the PS3 excitement and price point, which could sustain sales in the 175-250 thousand range.

A hell of a lot.

PS3 is smashing the 360 in Europe, if this maintains look for it to sale up to 1m more there. Na could be close but more favorable to PS3 due to its superior value. And Japan good for another 500k.

PS3 could out sale it by as much as 1.5 million world wide maybe near 2m.

It's outsold the 360 from the point that they were both available, which is something of an achievement.

kowenicki said: @kantor no it isnt... and you know it. If I had said that to you the day the ps3 launched it would be drawing after 3 years and still 5.3m behind..... you'd have laughed at me...... again. come on... at least admit that.

Well, that depends on when you'd said it.

Around 2005, I would have thought "What are you smoking? The 360 ahead of the PS3?"

After E3 2006, I would have thought "Lol wut? The PS3 will probably have failed by then".

You can't compare its current performance to predictions from four years ago, because Sony's PR to begin with was like a blow to the head for PS3 sales, and the fact that they've made a console which launched at $600 sell at the same pace as one which launched a year earlier at $400, is an achievement for Sony, even you have to admit.

They took a failure, and made it a relevant, and dare I say successful, console.

kowenicki said: @kantor no it isnt... and you know it. If I had said that to you the day the ps3 launched it would be drawing after 3 years and still 5.3m behind..... you'd have laughed at me...... again. come on... at least admit that.

Sure, if we were in a time capsule and it was pre E3 2006 and we didnt know the PS3 was launching at 8 billion dollars it would have been a failure.

But i believe you even said it "Perspective and relative" right?

We are all intelligent people and given the circumstances of this generation and the hurdles Sony has overcome (granted their own fault) we can now look at the numbers and see that by the end of this year the PS3 would be selling on pace since its launch with the 360, variables ocnsidered, it surely is pretty good considering how dire it was at one point.