By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - The TEN WEEK countdown - begins now!

I think the Wii will break 600k (worldwide) this week, or at least come very very close to it:

ioi hinted at the Wii's sales almost doubling in USA, which would probably put them at least at 400k there ("merely" a 58% increase). Add Others sales, 172k, and you get at least 572k by that estimation. Japan will do at least 34k according to TheSource's preliminary data, that's 606k ;)

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

Around the Network
Sqrl said:
@shams,

So in 4 weeks it is already tracking nearly 500k units ahead of your prediction =P Thats pretty surprising actually, but I think there is a chance you will get some correction this next week as that 600k number does sound a bit high, but we shall see. If it does outperform 600k though....well that would just be ungodly.

I don't think we are going to get any correction THIS week actually (find out soon!) :P

Actually starting to wonder if our numbers have been seriously underestimated for the Wii, for the entire period!

Europe: 170k

Japan: 40k-50k (approx) 

US: 250k (last week) x 1.3..1.5 for Black Friday/Thanksgiving: 320k...370k.

...

Somewhere between 550k...600k. If Ninty have a steller Thanksgiving (flood market), it *could* do up to 500k in the US this week (that would be insane). 

 



Gesta Non Verba

Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:

Game Assessment website

Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099

@shams: I don't know if you've seen what I posted right before you, but I think you'll be pleasantly surprised this week :)



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

NJ5 said:
@shams: I don't know if you've seen what I posted right before you, but I think you'll be pleasantly surprised this week :)

Yeah, so much for 600k WW...

So the Wii has gone from being 200k over my estimates, to 300k over my estimates :P

Extrapolate this over the rest of the year (almost 100k/week), and its looking like 6m sales.

I wonder what leo-j is thinking now... if the Wii can do 470k in ONE week in the US - will it break 1.8m for the month? ;) 

 



Gesta Non Verba

Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:

Game Assessment website

Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099

shams said:
NJ5 said:
@shams: I don't know if you've seen what I posted right before you, but I think you'll be pleasantly surprised this week :)

Yeah, so much for 600k WW...

So the Wii has gone from being 200k over my estimates, to 300k over my estimates :P

Extrapolate this over the rest of the year (almost 100k/week), and its looking like 6m sales.

I wonder what leo-j is thinking now... if the Wii can do 470k in ONE week in the US - will it break 1.8m for the month? ;)

 


Leo is probably thinking that the supply will run out next week and the Wii will stop selling consoles for the rest of the year. Short of that...I don't know.

edit: PS - Looks like "ungodly" wins!



To Each Man, Responsibility
Around the Network
Sqrl said:
The DS will easily break 600k and it has a shot at breaking 1m, but I don't know about the Wii...hell how many times has a console ever broken 600k WW for the week of black friday?

HA! I told you that the Wii would do over 600k last week! The Wii just needs to sell 4,078 in Japan. and it will sell way more than that. ^_^



TWRoO said:

Just remembered it was Zucas i copy/edited from not Shams...sorry Zucas.

ok what's going on....Shams you started by saying something about the "week starting 23rd Oct" but that was a Tuesday?....the WW weekly currently uses the same weeks as American (ending on a Saturday)

No# / Week ending Actual numbers Shams Zucas

TWRoO

#1 / ending 27th Oct

306k (adjusted)

190k

200k

200k

#2 / ending 3rd Nov

281k

300k

300k

300k

#3 / ending 10th Nov

264k

250k

250k

250k

#4 / ending 17th Nov

433k

350k

375k

375k

#5 / ending 24th Nov

 

640k

600k

600k

500k

#6 / ending 1st Dec

 

244k(+)

500k

600k

600k

#7 / ending 8th Dec

 


550k

750k

700k

#8 / ending 15th Dec

 


650k

850k

850k

#9 / ending 22nd Dec

 


800k

1100k

1100k

#10/ ending 29th Dec

 


1100k

675k

800k

Total

 


5290k

5700k

5675k

(why i lowered the total from Zucas' i don't know...i have always thought 6M over Nov/Dec [this includes a week in Oct too].. oh and originally Zucas put a total of 6M but the weekly numbers didn't add up....so i corrected it)

Thought this was a good time to update the numbers...

(see above)

...

Estimates for last week were pretty good from all involved, although its yet another week of the Wii beating all estimates. 

Its now 240k over my estimates, and has a strong start for this week - Europe is up almost 50% on last weeks figure.

I think 6m is definitely within reach. 



Gesta Non Verba

Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:

Game Assessment website

Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099

I think the Wii will do around 650k this week. Sorry to disappoint you shams! =]



Brian ZuckerGeneral PR Manager, VGChartzbzucker@vgchartz.com

Digg VGChartz!

Follow VGChartz on Twitter!

Fan VGChartz on Facebook!

wow it really is kicking the butts of both ps3 and 360. who would have thought back when they showed the wiimote for the first time. i thought they were joking at first but wouldnt you know they have done what i didnt think was possible.

nintendo is rocking the games world.......



I want wii fit and I want it now

 

TWRoO said:

 Just remembered it was Zucas i copy/edited from not Shams...sorry Zucas.

ok what's going on....Shams you started by saying something about the "week starting 23rd Oct" but that was a Tuesday?....the WW weekly currently uses the same weeks as American (ending on a Saturday)

No# / Week ending Actual numbers  Shams Zucas

 TWRoO

 #1 / ending 27th Oct

 305k

 190k

 200k

 200k

 #2 / ending 3rd Nov

 279k

 300k

 300k

 300k

 #3 / ending 10th Nov

 265k

 250k

 250k

 250k

 #4 / ending 17th Nov

 433k

 350k

 375k

 375k

 #5 / ending 24th Nov

641k

 600k

 600k

 500k

 #6 / ending 1st Dec

645k

 500k

 600k

 600k

 #7 / ending 8th Dec

 

 550k

 750k

 700k

 #8 / ending 15th Dec

 

 650k

 850k

 850k

 #9 / ending 22nd Dec

 

 800k

 1100k

 1100k

 #10/ ending 29th Dec

 

 1100k

 675k

 800k

 Total

 

 5290k

 5700k

 5675k

(why i lowered the total from Zucas' i don't know...i have always thought 6M over Nov/Dec [this includes a week in Oct too].. oh and originally Zucas put a total of 6M but the weekly numbers didn't add up....so i corrected it)

looking good for Wii.... I adjusted any that were wrong using the charts. so this is up to date.

Shams currently 378k underestimated.
Zucas currently 243k under
I am currently 343k under