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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ten Week Countdown 2009!

Awesome! I was about to ask you if you were gonna do it again this year :D



^_^

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Week PS3 WII 360
Week 1 225 275 175
Week 2 250 300 200
Week 3 300 350 275
Week 4 325 400 325
Week 5 500 600 550
Week 6 450 550 450
Week 7 550 650 550
Week 8 700 650 600
Week 9 750 750 700
Week 10 400 450 350


End of 2010 Predictions (Original Prediction Made: Jan. 1, 2010---Revised April 1, 2010---Revised Again July 1, 2010---Revised Again on Nov. 1, 2010)

PS3: 46 MIL (April Revision: 44 MIL, July Revision 43 MIL, Nov. Revision 45MIL)

360: 44 MIL (April Revision: 46 MIL, July Revision: 48 MIL, Nov. Revision 49MIL)

WII: 82 MIL (Apr. Revision: 84 MIL, Jul. Revision: 82 MIL, Nov. Revision: 82MIL)

THE MUST BUY LIST of 2010: Gran Turismo 5

THE BOUGHT LIST of 2010: White Knight Chrnociles, Heavy Rain, Final Fantasy 13, God of War 3, Modnation Racers, Sports Champions

Alright going to try to get this done over the next few days.

Wii
Week 1- 420,000
Week 2- 480,000
Week 3- 550,000
Week 4- 670,000
Week 5- 1,080,000
Week 6- 850,000
Week 7- 1,000,000
Week 8- 1,450,000
Week 9- 1,100,000
Week 10- 630,000
Total- 8,230,000

PS3
Week 1- 270,000
Week 2- 300,000
Week 3- 350,000
Week 4- 380,000
Week 5- 600,000
Week 6- 420,000
Week 7- 500,000
Week 8- 750,000
Week 9- 580,000
Week 10- 300,000
Total- 4,450,000

360
Week 1- 180,000
Week 2- 220,000
Week 3- 300,000
Week 4- 350,000
Week 5- 550,000
Week 6- 400,000
Week 7- 480,000
Week 8- 700,000
Week 9- 550,000
Week 10- 280,000
Total- 4,010,000

NDS

Week 1- 450,000

Week 2- 560,000

Week 3- 670,000

Week 4- 820,000

Week 5- 1,400,000

Week 6- 1,150,000

Week 7- 1,500,000

Week 8- 1,900,000

Week 9- 1,750,000

Week 10- 800,000

Total- 11,000,000

PSP

Week 1- 170,000

Week 2- 200,000

Week 3- 230,000

Week 4- 270,000

Week 5- 420,000

Week 6- 300,000

Week 7- 420,000

Week 8- 650,000

Week 9- 450,000

Week 10- 250,000

Total- 3,360,000



it was nice to see the last years ten week countdown,sadly I arrived late,

 X360:

Week 1: 190k
Week 2: 270k
Week 3: 240k
Week 4: 360k
Week 5: 280k
Week 6: 340k
Week 7: 380k
Week 8:480k
Week 9: 600k
Week 10:320k

 Wii:
Week 1: 280k
Week 2: 340k
Week 3: 380k
Week 4: 500k
Week 5: 500k
Week 6: 750k
Week 7: 900k
Week 8: 1300k
Week 9: 1200k
Week 10: 600k

PS3:  6.500k

Week 1: 250k
Week 2: 300k
Week 3: 290k
Week 4: 500k
Week 5: 450k
Week 6: 580k
Week 7: 750k
Week 8: 900k
Week 9: 700k
Week 10: 450k

it could be edited laterr



Oh joy! I really liked the last one (although it probably contained my worst predictions ever).

I will post my predictions later.



Around the Network

YAY!

PS3 & xbox 360 runied my whole prediction last year

I'll be more careful this year



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Hey you forgot FFCC The Crystal Bearers thats Dec 26th in America.



MaxwellGT2000 - "Does the amount of times you beat it count towards how hardcore you are?"

Wii Friend Code - 5882 9717 7391 0918 (PM me if you add me), PSN - MaxwellGT2000, XBL - BlkKniteCecil, MaxwellGT2000

This is an attempt to help people going. It could be a bit hard to predict without any base, so here's a base. It's purely the sales from last year, scaled into what I find realistic. The percentage is how much that week had of the total sales for the period last year. I expect the Wii to sell 7.5M this year, versus the 9.1 million last year, so it's scaled to that.

Week 1 (1st nov): 5.3% = 400K

Week 2 (8th nov): 6% = 450K

Week 3 (15th nov): 7.1% = 525K (really 533K, but I decided to put it in prettier numbers)

Week 4 (22nd nov): 14.1% =  1.06 million

Week 5 (29th nov):  8.6% = 650K(I swapped week 4 and 5 around, as Black Friday is opposite way around of last year).

Week 6 (6th Dec): 11.1% = 825K

Week 7 (13th dec): 13.5% = 1.0 million

Week 8: (20th dec): 19.3% = 1.45 million

Week 9: (27th dec): 13% = 1 million

Week 10: 7.2% = 525K

Total =  7.58 million

 

I'll do the same for the Ps3 and X360 later.

Note that predicting exactly this will probably give you a far off answer.

 



So just to confirm, Black Friday is definitely in week 4 (ie it's on the 20th November)?



MaxwellGT2000 said:
Hey you forgot FFCC The Crystal Bearers thats Dec 26th in America.

Well considerin it releases the 9th week, which should be handily the biggest year in the year I didn't think it really mattered , at least not for America/Europe... whatever prediction you make about that particular week is not going to be affected knowing that a Final Fantasy spin-off is releasing in America.

However, I added it in as Darth mentioned it when he did the list for me (thanks Darth ) I also took out his suggestion of the some Avatar game as I am not sure I have heard of it... I think it's a movie tie-in releasing in week 8... but does anyone else think it will be huge enough to make a difference? (It would have to be pretty incredible for a liscenced game, like better than Batman: Arkham Asylum in anticipation)

 
Pineapple said:

This is an attempt to help people going. It could be a bit hard to predict without any base, so here's a base. It's purely the sales from last year, scaled into what I find realistic. The percentage is how much that week had of the total sales for the period last year. I expect the Wii to sell 7.5M this year, versus the 9.1 million last year, so it's scaled to that.


Where did the 9.1 million come from?... the 2008 last 10 weeks is 9.669 million. Have you perhaps not got used to the new date for the website uses? Ie on the hardware table calculator page it used to use "week ending" dates for both the start and end date, but it now uses the exact dates (so the start dates all refer to the beginning of the week, while the end dates remain the same)

If that is not why you have a different figure to me I would lke to know where you got it from.


Pineapple said:

This is an attempt to help people going. It could be a bit hard to predict without any base, so here's a base. It's purely the sales from last year, scaled into what I find realistic. The percentage is how much that week had of the total sales for the period last year. I expect the Wii to sell 7.5M this year, versus the 9.1 million last year, so it's scaled to that.

Week 1 (1st nov): 5.3% = 400K

Week 2 (8th nov): 6% = 450K

Week 3 (15th nov): 7.1% = 525K (really 533K, but I decided to put it in prettier numbers)

Week 4 (22nd nov): 14.1% =  1.06 million

Week 5 (29th nov):  8.6% = 650K(I swapped week 4 and 5 around, as Black Friday is opposite way around of last year).

Week 6 (6th Dec): 11.1% = 825K

Week 7 (13th dec): 13.5% = 1.0 million

Week 8: (20th dec): 19.3% = 1.45 million

Week 9: (27th dec): 13% = 1 million

Week 10: 7.2% = 525K

Total =  7.58 million

 

I'll do the same for the Ps3 and X360 later.

Note that predicting exactly this will probably give you a far off answer.