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MaxwellGT2000 said:
Hey you forgot FFCC The Crystal Bearers thats Dec 26th in America.

Well considerin it releases the 9th week, which should be handily the biggest year in the year I didn't think it really mattered , at least not for America/Europe... whatever prediction you make about that particular week is not going to be affected knowing that a Final Fantasy spin-off is releasing in America.

However, I added it in as Darth mentioned it when he did the list for me (thanks Darth ) I also took out his suggestion of the some Avatar game as I am not sure I have heard of it... I think it's a movie tie-in releasing in week 8... but does anyone else think it will be huge enough to make a difference? (It would have to be pretty incredible for a liscenced game, like better than Batman: Arkham Asylum in anticipation)

 
Pineapple said:

This is an attempt to help people going. It could be a bit hard to predict without any base, so here's a base. It's purely the sales from last year, scaled into what I find realistic. The percentage is how much that week had of the total sales for the period last year. I expect the Wii to sell 7.5M this year, versus the 9.1 million last year, so it's scaled to that.


Where did the 9.1 million come from?... the 2008 last 10 weeks is 9.669 million. Have you perhaps not got used to the new date for the website uses? Ie on the hardware table calculator page it used to use "week ending" dates for both the start and end date, but it now uses the exact dates (so the start dates all refer to the beginning of the week, while the end dates remain the same)

If that is not why you have a different figure to me I would lke to know where you got it from.


Pineapple said:

This is an attempt to help people going. It could be a bit hard to predict without any base, so here's a base. It's purely the sales from last year, scaled into what I find realistic. The percentage is how much that week had of the total sales for the period last year. I expect the Wii to sell 7.5M this year, versus the 9.1 million last year, so it's scaled to that.

Week 1 (1st nov): 5.3% = 400K

Week 2 (8th nov): 6% = 450K

Week 3 (15th nov): 7.1% = 525K (really 533K, but I decided to put it in prettier numbers)

Week 4 (22nd nov): 14.1% =  1.06 million

Week 5 (29th nov):  8.6% = 650K(I swapped week 4 and 5 around, as Black Friday is opposite way around of last year).

Week 6 (6th Dec): 11.1% = 825K

Week 7 (13th dec): 13.5% = 1.0 million

Week 8: (20th dec): 19.3% = 1.45 million

Week 9: (27th dec): 13% = 1 million

Week 10: 7.2% = 525K

Total =  7.58 million

 

I'll do the same for the Ps3 and X360 later.

Note that predicting exactly this will probably give you a far off answer.