I think Dragon Quest X is going to be moved to a DS title (or DS successor) and maybe S-E will give Nintendo a "console companion" with its own quests for the Wii so as to not upset relations.

The DS one will sell 4 mill, and hey they'll probably squeeze 2 mill out of the Wii version, so win-win.

DQIX is easily going to be the best selling DQ of all time ... they're not going to move the franchise away from the DS now just because consoles .... uh ... offer a bigger screen. 

Yes they will.  By the time DQX will be finished, all the consoles will be nearing the final year(s) of production and have their most marketshare they have ever had.  Much like the PS2, the Wii has shown it is the clear leader in popularity and marketshare.  By the time they release the game on the Wii, Japan will probably habe 10-12 Million Wii systems and there will be 60+ Million Wii Systems worldwide.  Plus the release of the game will easily sell more systems.

The reason they're putting the next one on the Wii is because Dragon Quest is primarily a console based series.  This last one going to DS mostly did that because there was no clear winner (or fesable good JRPG system) early on when development started for DQIX.  Now the Wii is clearly the more popular and cost effective system to develop for, so they chose that for the next DQ game.  And they aren't going to lose sales from a Dragon Quest game.  Except maybe like the 500,000 extra that the DS brought in of people buying the game on a whim or to get into the series.  And some of those will now buy the game on Wii.

Fortunately this guy has been banned lol.

I think you misunderstood what I'm saying -- I think Square-Enix will make TWO versions of Dragon Quest X -- one for the DS and one for the Wii. 

Capcom basically already does this same thing with Monster Hunter, only they use the Wii/PSP, as of course the PSP is going to get Monster Hunter 3, probably next year. They make one version for consoles and another for portables. 

I can see Square-Enix doing the same with DQX, only with Wii + DS. Maybe there could even be some connectivity between the two versions. They are not going to abandon the DS market, it clearly is far and away the no.1 platform in Japan.

As such I could see DQX on DS selling the usual 3-4 million, and the Wii version adding another 2 million. This type of a release could actually make Square-Enix a lot more money. 

It's nice for Nintendo to want things, but Wii sales have been dropping in Japan like a rock, and I don't think Square-Enix is going to risk putting it on the Wii exclusively.

Enix yanked Dragon Quest VII from the N64 back in the day too, so its not like there isn't a precedent. A DS + Wii version would be a healthy compromise.

Maybe it could work like Monster Hunter 3 where the Wii gets it first and then the handheld machine (in this case -- DS) gets a version afterwards. In this scenario both versions could also link up to each other. 

But that's how I see it going down.

Wii sales have dropped in Japan every year YoY since 2007 actually.

2009 is trending to be the lowest year for the Wii in Japan. By 2011 that situation could very well be worse, not better. 

The Wii has been in some trouble in Japan for a while I think, it was just masked by the fact that the PS3 was doing so much worse and Wii Fit carried the system through most of 2008. 

A successful, healthy platform does not having declining sales from year 2 to year 3 to year 4 of its console cycle (speaking of the Japanese market). It should be accelerating not decelerating. 

Lack of Pricecut for 3 years will do that to a console.

Wait to see what the pricecut does before saying the Wii isn't successful for healthy.

Regarding success... it has made nothing but profit for Nintendo since release, its already VERY successful.

why not have a decline every year?

If something is selling a record pace when it first comes out, it is bound to end up somewhere to what is considered a norm. Do you honestly expect a console to sell and these NEVER before seen constant pace for three years? it ha slike 8.5million consoles sold already, which is great considering most of japan is more into handhelds these days.

Price cuts tend not to have as much of an impact in the Japanese market (historically). 

In JAPAN the Wii situation is not healthy. Even Iwata has said that. 

Personally I think Nintendo missed the boat with this one, they had great momenteum in Japan in 2007, and did not tighten the screws in 2008. With the DS you see the system exploded between 2005 (second year) to 2006 (third year) .... they really ramped up the releases. 

With Wii this did not happen and now I think they are paying the price for it in Japan. Things like Monster Hunter 3 and NSMB Wii needed to be out *last year* in Japan. 

It's not all of Nintendo's fault ... the console business has certainly declined in Japan and third parties deserve a lot of the blame for not supporting the system earlier on. But at this point, I think the damage is done. Just for the record, I don't think the PS3 has the juice to save the Japanese console market either. It will spike for FF13 and then go back to lukewarm sales. The Wii was the Japanese console market's best hope, and I just think they mismanaged 2008/2009 and now are paying the price for it. 

All i can say about that is... wait and see.

Im sure you will be surprised.