By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Prediction game: Best selling games Nov + Dec

DarkNight_DS said:
Is everyone forgetting about Mario and Sonic at the Olympics?

Not forgetting, but dismissing... The game just isn't that good. It will sell well, but not as much as you may think.

 



Around the Network

1. cod4(360)
2.SMG(wii)
3.cod 4(ps3)
4.guitar hero 3(X360)
5. wii play(wii)
6. Assassins creed(X360)
7. Unreal tournament 3(pc,ps3)
8.Assassins creed(ps3)



 

mM

Its going to be a DS game...

Mario Party DS



leo-j said:
1. cod4(360)
2.SMG(wii)
3.cod 4(ps3)
4.guitar hero 3(X360)
5. wii play(wii)
6. Assassins creed(X360)
7. Unreal tournament 3(pc,ps3)
8.Assassins creed(ps3)

I agree with the games on your list but I would put UT3 ahead of AC 360 if it comes out.



Quack!

I'll bet my avatar and a 1 month ban that the PS3 by March 08 will be 3 Million units away in WW sales of the Wii. konnichiwa, Your gonna regret this!!!!!!

So does anyone still think COD4 will outsell SMG? I really doubt that will happen now ;)



Prepare for termination! It is the only logical thing to do, for I am only loyal to Megatron.

Around the Network
shams said:

I think these are the contenders:

- SMG
- GH III (all platforms)
- WiiFit (looking at 1-1.5m sales in Japan in Dec alone)
- Mass Effect (biggest 360 title over holidays)
- Mario & Sonic (DS version delayed till '08...)
- CoD (not really sure about this, but it definitely has a chance)
- RE:UC (strong Japan + US release)
- Dynasty Warriors 5(?) (Japan release, big, big title - PS3 bundle and all)

I don't believe these titles will make the top#10:

- R&C, Uncharted (install base, not "harcore" titles? plus doesn't R&C release in October)
- Assassins Creed (will do well across all titles long term, but will be surprised if any single platform makes the top#10 - maybe 360)
- Rayman#2 (won't do the numbers, won't sell in Japan)
- Rockband (definitely not - this will do great *revenue* but crap short-term sales - its just to expensive)
- Halo3 (already sold most of its units in the US & Japan - might do another 500k in the US, but it will be old news by the time Xmas hits. I might be wrong though - still a chance of being one of the best 360 sellers, but just doubt it will make the top#10..?)

So my top#10 - remember that titles that sell well in BOTH Japan & US have a huge advantage here:

#1 - Super Mario Galaxy (Japan, US)
#2 - Mario & Sonic (Wii) (Japan, US)
#3 - Mass Effect (360) (US)
#4 - Call of Duty (360) (US)
#5 - WiiFit (Wii) (Japan)
#6 - Guitar Hero III (Wii) (US)
#7 - Guitar Hero III (360) (US)
#8 - Dynasty Warriors (PS3)
#9 - Guitar Hero III (PS2) (US)
#10 - Halo 3 (360) (US?)

Something like that anyway. DS titles excluded, WiiPlay/WiiSports/WiiZapper excluded. I think WiiZapper will *easily* make the list - maybe be #1 - if included.

I'm sure some big titles have been missed - not sure what though. Madden on PS2/360 might (?) creep in, etc.

Also - "The Simpsons" will be huge (across all platforms), but not sure when its releasing. Not sure if a single platform will make top#10.


Well, I can definitely make some adjustments now. Japan market seems to be considerably smaller than expected, and tracking of Europe seems to be helping.

GH3 (360) >> GH3 (PS3), GH3 (Wii)

Dynasty Warriors... what?

Mario & Sonic - closer to the end of the charts

RockBand might even make the top#10, based on current reports?

Simpsons = flop. RE:UC should do 500k over the holidays.

And the big one - Assassins Creed. Done much, much better than I expected. If the PS3 has a game make the top#10, it may well be AC.

New predicted chart:

#1 - Super Mario Galaxy (Japan, US)
#2 - Mass Effect (360) (US)
#3 - Call of Duty (360) (US)
#4 - Guitar Hero III (PS2) (US)
#5 - Assassins Creed (360) (US)
#6 - WiiFit (Wii) (Japan)
#7 - Guitar Hero III (Wii) (US)
#8 - Mario & Sonic (Wii) (Japan, US)
#9 - Halo 3 (360) (US?)
#10 - Assassins Creed (PS3) (US)

Could be a great holiday season for Activision - there isn't a single EA title in this top#10 (RockBand could get in?).

Mass Effect remains the last "wildcard" IMO - it could do 1m week#1 on the 360!

(EDIT - Mass Effect is now an EA game isn't it...oops!)

(EDIT2 - and great charts for the 360 potentially - 3 in top #5). 



Gesta Non Verba

Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:

Game Assessment website

Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099