um didn't read most of it but i agree
As for Maelstrom trash talking Spielberg. For one the man is a somebody, Maelstrom is a nobody. He should learn his place before talking trash.
By the way, where was Maelstrom and his "No weight" comments back when Boom Blox was touted as a "Spielberg game"?
Oh wait! That's right. It was a Wii thing so of course we wouldn't throw stones then.
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Legend11 said:
Here's the thing Avinash_Tyagi, you have no idea what the price of it is going to be. You have no idea what the price of the Xbox 360 will be when it launches or even if there will be a special SKU with it. That's the problem, you just have no idea and yet you're stating things like they're facts. As for what the Wii Fit crowd is going to buy, how do you know what they're going to buy in the future? Seriously unless you show me some kind of poll or whatever that backs you up I'm going to say you're just pulling that out of your ass. From my perspective and I'm not stating this as fact but as an observation, the fitness industry is so big because people tend to continue buying new products every year. I've yet to see someone buy an Ab Roller for instance and then never buy another piece of fitness equipment again. |
For the demographic that will probably buy NATAL, yes, seriously, Speilberg carries little wieght in gaming for the core, we know that people won't buy it at that price, because the Wii will be a lot cheaper. And you're right I don't know for sure, but i'm basing it on estimates, and the estimates place it around $400 for a full package
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
I agree with Malstrom here as usual. I'm afraid the Natal won't be able to sastify the enormous hype given by tons of people.
P.S.: Why do some of you haters continue to force yourselves into listening to his ideas & beliefs? It's ok to hate him, but there's not much sense of forcing yourselves to listen to him if you don't like him.
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Avinash_Tyagi said: http://seanmalstrom.wordpress.com/2009/06/16/natals-leash-slips-microsoft-panics/ Hype is a dangerous beast. It can work for you in amazing ways. But it can also bite you. Hype can also slip its leash and run off and do the exact opposite of what you intend. The hype surrounding Natal has been well orchestrated. You can argue about the timing of the hype if you wish to, but to argue that its forced is a stretch. Well all know Microsoft is orchestrating quite a good marketing campaign, they have more positive press than the WiiM+ and they don't even have much to show them. We will see if its a bad decision later, but for now theres nothing which has been proved as poor strategy.
Have you noticed the strange obsession with Steven Spielberg in hyping Natal? “Well, if Steven Spielberg loves it, man, it must be something!” If game journalists acted like game journalists, they would instantly note that Spielberg, who was stuttering his lines (watch the video again, what he is saying isn’t coming from his heart), is saying the similar lines of Fils-Aime when he spoke at E3 2006. One indication of a marketer was someone pushing Spielberg. Gamers don’t give a damn about Spielberg. Maybe if Will Wright was up there, or Sid Mier, or Richard Garriott, gamers would care. But Spielberg has no weight in the game industry. Anyway, the appearance of articles like this is an indication the Natal push wasn’t working. Thats stupid. Its the answer which makes Sean Malstrom feel powerful inside, its nowhere near the 'right' answer. If Sean Malstrom thinks its a bad strategy then its quite likely that the people at Microsoft would think so too, so they must have some other agenda. By reinforcing that motion controls are the future, which makes Wii look more futuristic than the Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3 in comparison, the hype dog was biting back. Then, the hype dog slipped its leash and began to run off doing things Microsoft did not anticipate. Yeah and the only thing worse than being talked about is not being talked about.
What, wait, Apple and Nintendo aren't also marketing companies? Well more to the former than the latter. Also if Microsoft were such a marketing company they would have responded to the Mac vs PC advertisements far sooner. Furthermore since only the hardcore would hear rumours of a new Xbox console it really wouldn't matter because they wouldn't believe it. Rumours about new consoles are a dime in a dozen. What amazes me is how there appears to be a coordinated defense of a new Xbox/Natal Console by saying that it is just what Nintendo did with the Wii or DSi. This obviously is not what Nintendo did with either the Wii or DSi. Interesting, when people were criticizing Microsoft traveling everywhere with tech demo ‘Natal’ like a circus elephant, another coordinated defense emerged (amazingly identical from one message forum to the next) that “Nintendo did it with the Wii going everywhere…” Anyone who knows recent history realizes that Nintendo went dark after TGS 2005 and the public appearances by Reggie and Iwata talked nothing but business strategy: Blue Ocean and disruption (GDC 2006: Iwata’s keynote speech was titled ‘Disrupting Development’). ‘Revolution’ controller was always controversial and never received universal hype until after E3 2006 where software was unveiled for the first time and the controller was placed in consumers’ hands. It wasn’t just Reggie, Iwata, and Miyamoto playing tennis up there, there was a fourth person who was a random winner in an AOL contest. Natal is nowhere near random consumers’ hands, and everyone knows why: Thats likely a response from Microsoft with their puppet forum/blog posters. Most likely Nintendo and Sony have them too, but probably not to the same extent as Microsoft who probably are performing a similar campaign with Windows 7. Panic state? Noone swallowed the hype? You just spent time detailing how they had! I see that you haven't spent any time thinking about 'how' Microsoft is playing copycat. The Nintendo Wii is a lifestyle machine in many ways, so project Natal is more a response to the Wiis original concept rather than any response to the eventual M+ addition. If you take the rumours about stereoscopy and consider them next to a controller which responds to your hands, can you not see how the two may be connected? Stereoscopy is the missing piece to the puzzle and allows people to interface directly with their hands on false 3d images. Furthermore because they responded to rumours doesn't prove or disprove anything. Sony responded to rumours and denied that there would be a price cut early this year and guess what? There wasn't a price cut this year.
Nintendo is playing a very dangerous game of disruption with its competitors. Microsoft is the most successful company on the face of the Earth at defending against disruptions (since they happen all the time to the Windows operating system). The last disruption Microsoft crushed was the netbook disruption. While Nintendo made its moves with the Wii, Microsoft will make its counter-moves (Microsoft going to perform a classic co-opt counterattack as predicted way back in Shield). Sony is so daft that the way how it is moving, the company believes they are playing checkers instead of chess. I have seen no indication from Sony that they realize they are playing on the chess board of disruption. They think they are playing another game, like technology competition or something. Microsoft and Sony are finally playing an asynchronous strategy to each other which according to game theory benefits both of them more. Since their dominant strategy doesn't interfere with each other they will likely be more successful in their implementation. Nintendos best case scenario is Microsoft and Sony kicking each other around and fighting over the same turf, preventing either from gaining any momentum. Sony is targeting Nintendos upstreaming and Microsoft is targeting the Nintendo Wii core audience. Furthermore the fact that up until now Microsoft has been content to try and kick Sony around, doesn't mean that Microsoft cannot and will not respond to the Wii.
Its pretty foolish to think that Microsoft would target the people who currently have a Wii. Its also pretty foolish to think that they don't have a good handle on interfaces. See Apple for referrence if you must, another 'PC company' which 'gets' interfaces. Theres plenty of wide open space in the widest market and Nintendo hasn't even addressed half of it. Unless some third parties appear and they gain access to these parts of the wider market Nintendo cannot address them all. Furthermore the Wii as it exists cannot address all of the market because it simply cannot perform some tasks.
Meanwhile, let’s all wave at the Hype Dog as it passes by with the marketers rushing after it. |
Tease.
You put too much effort into this Squilliam. Anything malstron related usually douesn't deserve anything more then a few sentences that in summary state "lol. Whatever makes you happy."
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After skimming through the thread I saw two or three comments on actual points in the article. Everything else is an attempt at character assassination.
Sad. :(
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Avinash_Tyagi said:
For the demographic that will probably buy NATAL, yes, seriously, Speilberg carries little wieght in gaming for the core, we know that people won't buy it at that price, because the Wii will be a lot cheaper. And you're right I don't know for sure, but i'm basing it on estimates, and the estimates place it around $400 for a full package |
We don't know the price but what we do know is that Microsoft is aiming this at a broad audience. For that audience it makes no sense to have someone that most of them never heard of talk about how excited they are over the technology rather than Steven Spielberg. I also don't understand him accusing Spielberg of lying. What was the point of that? To me it just comes off as rabid hate being justified with nonsense.
I have a suspicion that when it comes to the HD consoles and Microsoft in general that no matter what they do Malstrom will criticize it. If they had simply taken the easy route and produced a Wii Remote knock off he would have bashed them for that. I think he has a bias and it's glaringly on display by the fact that he has praised Nintendo for disruption and is now bashing Microsoft to hell for attempting it.
Shadowblind said: You put too much effort into this Squilliam. Anything malstron related usually douesn't deserve anything more then a few sentences that in summary state "lol. Whatever makes you happy." |
You underrestimate the guy. Even if you don't like how he writes his articles, he has been right about many things. This E3 for instance, he predicted many of the things that was shown and said on the Nintendo conferance.
you may not like his opinion, but don't just shrug off any point that he makes. Read and complain or don't read and stay silent.
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Legend11 said:
I think he has a bias and it's glaringly on display by the fact that he has praised Nintendo for disruption and is now bashing Microsoft to hell for attempting it. |
Trying to counter a disruption is not the same as disruption. Natal is a counter-mesure, not a disruption.
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