great post as normal kowenicki!

I was looking at PS360 comparison for this year, and I was shocked at how close the PS3 and 360 have been... but also shocking to see how well the PS3 did last year

yea, cant really give an explanation for it. just weird

@ kowenicki

289K is ~9% difference. If PS3 manages to finish it's lifetime sales 9% behind the 360 that's a pretty close run race, considering the 360's LTD lead at the moment is over 25%. PS3 consistently selling at about 90% of the 360 through 2009 means predictions of the PS3's imminent demise are way overblown. Staying in that close touch to the 360 at this point guarantees that PS3 will achieve a solid 3rd place at least and provide a reasonable base from which to launch the PS4. 289K nearly 5 months into the year can be reigned in if Sony has a game changing 2nd half '09. By game changing I mean a PS3 price drop AND a general improvement in world economic conditions, I think it will take both of these for the general public to start buying the PS3 over the 360 in significant numbers. And finally 289K is a heck of a lot better from the PS3 perspective than 367K, which is what it was back in the VGC 1.0 day.

All in all it is closer than I would have guessed.

However, PS3 won't make its rather optimistic 13 million target by sitting behind 360 by 9%. It's unlikely to even make 8 figures in that position.

I think the total YoY TD console sales being down makes more sense considering the economic conditions cf last year.

kowenicki said: @munkeh 300,000 isnt that close. Extrapolate that over the year and a holiday and it will mean a million more for 360 over PS3 in 2009 probably.... pending price cuts of course

It is much closer than I thought it was

If Sony were serious with their 13M claims, then they must have a price cut lined up for the holidays.

Possibly, any of these combinations should boost it...
Pricecut / Slim + GT5/FF13

Also, looks like everything was overtracked.

Doesn't Sony always make huge predictions and then amend them later on in the year? I could have sworn they predicted a lot more last year than what they got, so they amended it later on in the year to reflect the new likely numbers.

I have a feeling Sony will do the same this year as I don't see 13M PS3's being sold.... (nearly 9.5 million in just 7 months!)

So let me get this straight, the PS3 has 7 months to sell another 10 million ... or was it fiscal year?

Why do you compare with non-equivalent time periods in your 2.0 comparison?

2007 - (Jan 7th to May 26th)
2008 - (Jan 6th to May 24th)
2009 - (Jan 3rd to May 9th)


The periods u picked for 2007 and 2008 are two weeks longer (while in your old comparison table all three years matched)