I'd say 78 million. Though if Nintendo increases production, 80 million will be spot on!

Although 85mil is possible, Nintendo is slow about increasing production, etc... they want to stretch this out...

75m is more likely. Not that 85m wouldn't sell (worse case, a price cut would make it sell if demand lowered significantly a year from now).

I'd say 70 Million. Next year should be the peak year for the Wii. Acording it will sell 45 million till the end of 08, it "only" has to sell 35 million. I think its possible.

@One touch: 35mil + 45mil = 80mil not 70mil like you say.

Damn, should have included the "<<<" and ">>>"!

And I do think next year games will be a more important drive for core gamers to buy a Wii next to a PS3 or 360. Casual drive will be Wii Sports + Wii Fit as usual, lol.

They only expect to have 52 million shipped by the end of March 2009. It's hard to imagine that 28 million more will be shipped in 9 months even with production going up. My guess would be between 70-75 million.

Why are there multiple versions of the DS now?  Why did they upgrade the gameboy and GBA multiple times?  In both cases they were the dominant player.  They did it not just because of the PSP, they did it because they can sell twice to the SAME people.  

        They won't just make a new Wii because they need to compete, they will make a new Wii because people will buy it giving them double the money.  

They will most likely make the new Wii HD totally compatible with current Wii stuff (including the controllers) and then add a hard drive and some other things to get more VC sales.  By the time its out (2010 or 2011) it will probably even be able to be a flash drive instead of a traditional hard drive with the way prices on flash memory are decreasing.  It will be the same as the upgrades on their handhelds.  It will not be a huge change that reinvents the wheel, instead it will be a relatively small change like game boy upgrades have been historically.  It may even be less powerful then both the 360 and PS3 still even if it is released later to save on cost and increase profit.

        It will probably be around the same price as the Wii and replace it (like the DSi replaces the DS).  The same people who would buy a Wii could get the HD and then also many of the people who already got a Wii would buy it again (as many people who bought a Gameboy advance also bought the SP).  In a year or two it won't cost much more to make more powerful Wii HD then a traditional Wii and the increased sales to people who already own one Wii would be worth that slight cost increase.

I agree.  But now, I'm not confident that Nintendo won't up shipment forcast to even greater amounts in 2009.  I also see the Wii having a banner year in Japan in 2009.  I don't think shipping 28 million in the April to December 2009 will be all that unrealistic for some reason. 

I'll still keep my predictions in the 72 - 77 million range.  But expect some suprises.

Edit: lol @ all the Sony fans predicting such low numbers!  So much for objectivity.,,

No...just no....

But when they made those changes, the new games still worked with the older systems. Games for the DSLite worked on the DSPhat, GBA SP games worked on the GBA, GB Color games worked on the Game Boy. If there's a wiiHD, it's games won't work with the "old" wii, which is something that they have not done at this point, and I see no reason too.