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BengaBenga on 13 December 2008
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Machina-AX said:
Sqrl said:

Statistically 75M is probably the safe bet right now. Production issues will limit anything over 82M short of massive production increases (unlikely given the economic situation) and anything under 72M naturally implies a notable reduction in sales during year 3 (unlikely given console history shows year 3 is a peak year).

 

|72M < < < (75M) > > > > > > > 82M|


This is what I would say as well. I was going to quote Benga's explanation, but I think he put too much reliance on games being the driving factor, whereas I find the 3 year rule and production levels to be the more convincing explanations.

At this point in time I'm also going with 75 million.

 

 

Damn, should have included the "<<<" and ">>>"!

And I do think next year games will be a more important drive for core gamers to buy a Wii next to a PS3 or 360. Casual drive will be Wii Sports + Wii Fit as usual, lol.