To begin with, LBP is going to sell a LOT more than 1.5 million LTD.

LBP does not fit the PS3's audience.

Killzone 2 does fit the PS3's audience. CoD4 will easily cross 4 million, and you think those people are going to buy one shooter a year? No, they buy lots of shooters. If people see this advertised, they will see how amazing it looks, and they will forget about Killzone 1. Which, by the way, sold over 2 million units.

The reason Resistance 2 sold badly is because World at War was releasing at roughly the same time. The CoD audience are only going to buy one game at a time, and if it's between CoD5 and another shooter, they will choose the Call of Duty.

Killzone 2 launches in February. That is three months after CoD:WaW. The shooter fans will want another FPS. They will look for the best FPS on the PS3, and find Killzone 2.

That is why I predict 700k first week, 4-4.5 million LTD.

The game is truely amazing and if sony got their act together and did a little advertising i beleive it could get to 4 million.

if sony advertise it a lot like microsoft did to halo3 it can easily do 5mil LTD

This game will obliterate R2 in sales...IF it is as good as people are making it seem.

I want to see Sony do something like what Microsoft did with Gears of War and Halo 3.

There has been a lot of time and effort put into this game, Sony shouldn't waste it with crappy marketing.

@bugrimmar, i will LOL at you, when LBP will pass 5 mln. And that will probably happen before the end of 2009.
Even Resistance 2 will sell over 3 mln. LTD.

299$ PS3 price will do miracles.

With good marketing - 3.2M LTD

i like your logic, not based on hype, it is rarity for such sony fans

i think LTD number is around 2-3 mil, but less than MGS4

and as always, not moving PS3 hardware.

im going to guess

365k first week ww
2.2m lifetime