I should clarify that the reason I expect it to sell almost as well as Mario Party 1st week, even if I don't expect it to sell as well in final sales numbers, is because it's primarily a core game and core gamers buy games when they are released, not slowly over time.

I was going to say the same thing.  On the one hand the Gamecube version wasn't as good and did alright but then it was also released with a 12 million install base and was one of the only good major games for the Cube at that point.  Overall I would think they would cancel and result in 120-150k first week and 250-300k forst month.  It's just hard to say since soccer really isn't popular but this isn't traditional soccer (heck if the World Cup had players flipping 20 feet in the air to kick 3 balls in rapid succession and 12-8 scores even I would watch it).

I don`t expect it to be that big, though it will have decent sales. I think 100-150k first week, first month 300k. LTD in USA, 500k. WW LTD 2 million at much. I`m far more interested in Fifa`s sales, and if Konami finally wakes up, Pro Evo ( still not confirmed nor denied that it`s coming to Wii).

88% of Mexico is in North America.  

I actually agree with ckmlb's prediction. I just have a gut feeling that this game is not going to go over as well as MP8, though it will have good legs and easily do 1mil in NA alone.

I would predict 180k for first week, 300k for first month.

It's hard to call because the first game came out much later in the Gamecube's life when it had most of it's installed base in the U.S. Also the first game's sales in a series don't always mean the second will match (take Metroid Prime 2 for example). And the first game didn't get really good reviews (it averaged a 76 on metacritic).

With all that being said though I think it's going to do well because the Wii fanbase is literally starved for good games (or at least decent games) and this is coming out at the right time. I predict 315,000 first month.

The Wii already has 3/4 of the install base of the GC when the first game was released (pretty sure the GC was at around 12 million when Strikers came out).  That really doesn't mean that much anyway though.  That's like saying Halo 3 is going to sell much less than Halo 2 because the 360 userbase is so much smaller than the Xbox userbase was when it came out.

I'm playing it since yesterday and yes he really have the potential to be a big seller on the Wii.

As Stof said it so many times, the first one sold 0.91 millions in america but it was released in late 2005, the last good holiday season for the GC. Charged have 5 years to surpass what the first one did in one year.

Add in that the selling effect that we see on the Wii since launch, a person buy the game and play it with friends, some of them will buy it after and do the same things. We generally see that with the casual crowd and this is one fun multiplayer game that can appeal to casual and hardcore, primary the hardcore because it's one of the good game coming this year.

It has online play - something that is really important in the US. Its also the best multiplayer game on the Wii (easily).

Its also a "sports" title (well - sort of) - and we all know how sports mad the US are. Nice timing with Madden coming out.

And its a much BETTER title than MP8 (in many ways) - although a "hardcore" title, rather than a "casual" one (IMO). 

200k first week, 550k first month. Could be a lot bigger though.