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It's hard to call because the first game came out much later in the Gamecube's life when it had most of it's installed base in the U.S. Also the first game's sales in a series don't always mean the second will match (take Metroid Prime 2 for example). And the first game didn't get really good reviews (it averaged a 76 on metacritic).

With all that being said though I think it's going to do well because the Wii fanbase is literally starved for good games (or at least decent games) and this is coming out at the right time. I predict 315,000 first month.