What I was trying to point out was that the PSP now has the same price as the PSP. The PSP had actualy a quit good start, but it fell of when DS got some killer games. The same is true for the PS3, it doesn't have the games for the japanese market meanwhile Nintendo has the killer apps in Wii Sport.

I only see two scenarios where Nintendo does not take first place this gen:

1. Blu-ray takes off and PS3 becomes a popular choice for Blu-ray buyers.

I don't think this scenario is very likely, but it's not impossible. While it looks like Blu-ray has beaten HD-DVD, it still has to beat consumer apathy. I think for most people, DVD is still satisfactory. PS2 offered DVD at a time when it was obvious that DVD was going to replace VHS - that's definitely not true for Blu-ray vs. DVD at this time.

2. Nintendo stops disrupting the market.

The strength of Wii is in its ability to deliver new game experiences. The system isn't selling out week after week on the strength of Twighlight Princess or Super Paper Mario. It's selling out because of Wii Sports (and because of how the games play in general). If Nintendo cancelled Wii Fit and Wii Music tomorrow morning and went back to making the exact same types of games it did on N64 and GameCube, then I'd be worried. I'm actually a little worried that neither of those games are ready for this Christmas - Nintendo may be in danger of losing that new market it's trying to build.

But what else could they do after WiiMusic and WiiFit....WiiSports2 no one will buy that once the Wii series is gone and they cant make anymore then it will turn into the N64/GC and just be another Nintendo console with a different controller.

They can do pretty much whatever they can dream up ...

If you want to make a game for a group of people all you have to do is think of something they enjoy doing. As an example I have been in a position lately where I see how crazy many women get towards planning weddings. Hypothetically speaking, you could make a game where you start out by planning a wedding (Hall, decorations, food, ceremony, reception) and then the game becomes a tactical RPG where you're in controll of the Wedding party (minus the bride and groom) and you have to prevent the wedding from becomming a disaster; you end up being graded on how much of a success the wedding was for the bride/groom based on how it met their expectations and how many disasters you avoided.

I don't know how successful this game would be (and it is overly steriotypical) but I don't think anyone has tried a wedding simulator and I think it could be successful.

Construction games, firefighting games, photo journalism games, and political games have never (really) been attempted before. If I can think of dozens of ideas in minutes I'm certain other people can too and the limit are endless.

Yep dozens of ideas with a very small target audience and people who would rather do it in real life than on a screen in 'virtual reality'.

You know I said the exact same thing about "The Sims".  Which is odd... since I liked Aerobiz Supersonic... a game about the exciting world of running an Airline Company.

i dont think the wii will at all. I believe the wii is a fade that will die away pretty. Everybody i know that owns a wii and myself all already getting preety tried of it. Its a fun party game system but it just doesnt have all the needed values of a great game system. I do think that it will still sell alot. Here is my predictions for the video game consoles sellings by the end of this gen

PS3----------56,000,000
Wii-----------48,000,000
Xbox 360---26,000,000

Just like Wii Sports,  five mini-sports-games for a small sport symulation audience who don´t care about visuals. Oh wait that was just the most improtant game this far in the generation (and will stay that way), do you really think Wii Sports 2 with five extra games would not sell ??? Do you think Wii Fit will bomb and Nintendo will be left with no ideas ??? If you can´t see the potential of the new controlls I can see why you like the fad theory, but everybody (expecially HappySqurriel) with a vivid imagination can see that we are just at the beginning of new ways to make games and play them.

The game I would make right now is Wii-Snowboard(or Skateboard)-Brawl, stand on the Wii board like a snowboard, use the nunchuck to wack enemys who come to close or defend against them and shoot your opponents with a gotcha gun with the Wii-mote, the online and team play would rock.  

The Sims (Doll House Game), Animal Crossing (Life Simulation), Harvest Moon (Farm Simulation), Nintendogs (Pet Simulation), Guitar Hero (Musical Game), DDR (Dance Game), Railroad Tycoon (Model Railroad Simulator), Sim City (City Simulation), and Civilization (History based Strategy Game) are all games created from ideas that had people claiming there was no value because they had a 'very small target audience' ...

Up until recently, who would have thought that a surgery or attorny game would be popular enough to justify their development costs.

I'm not saying that my game ideas are particularly good, but I would lay money that I could develop all of my game ideas for less than the cost of a mid-range PS3 and XBox 360 game and probably sell more games; someone like Miyamoto (who has created tons of games that were unconventional at the time) could probably come up with enough ideas to keep the Wii with a steady supply of unconventional games for years to come.