Yawn....did Soriku break his Wiimote or something?

blue3 is back...dude serisouly stop acting like an idiot your reading this killzone3.

Its happened before it could happen again.I think 2million in all 3 regions is abit low unless it keeps the $599 price and every dev on the planet stops developing for it,NEITHER of these thing will happen though. 

as happysquirrel said, even without the us price cut and xmas sales the ps3 should get over 5 million ww, [55k per week] the price cut should add an extra 5k a week at minimum, making it almost 5.5 mil just there. [still not counting xmas]
therefore an ABSOLUTE minimum for end of year is 6 million...i reckon it will be between 6.5 and 7.

of course the absolute min for Wii is 15 million, however if nintendo have been stockpiling, or have a contract to have more made for then, that means Wii absolute min is 16.5-17 million...which would be about my guess. and 10 mil over my guess for ps3.

mitsuhide your sig is clearly overestimating ps3 numbers and underestimating wii [if it wasnt for the bit about ''consoles working'' id say you were underestimating 360 also.]

conclusion; "middle-high 4 mill" is clearly bunk and very misinformed.

you really are a retard if you want threads like this to go on.

I'm not sure your numbers are realistic.

The Week Ending October 28th 2006

Hardware:

Console	Weekly	Total
	107,687	7,387,323
	75,547	40,242,682
	68,910	38,019,959
	66,274	3,165,519
	43,562	5,801,974
	9,986	12,235,984
	793	15,920,885
Total	372,759

The Week Ending 30th December 2006:

Hardware:

Console	Weekly	Total
	151,677	10,120,363
	147,743	42,621,124
	119,587	5,083,263
	94,768	39,847,512
	94,711	746,653
	94,605	1,241,320
	93,057	7,261,535
	20,444	12,561,930
	511	15,930,893
Total	817,103

Meaning the holiday sales of the systems were (approximately)

1. Nintendo DS - 2,733,040
2. Playstation 2 - 2,378,442
3. XBox 360 - 1,917,744
4. Gameboy Advance - 1,827,553
5. Playstation Portable - 1,459,561
6. Nintendo Wii - 1,241,320
7. Playstation 3 - 746,653
8. Gamecube - 325,946
9. XBox - 10,008

Now the question is 'How does the sales of the PS3 compare to the sales of these systems?' To answer that let's look at the begining of the year numbers

The Week ending December 31st 2005

Hardware:

Console	Weekly	Total
	152,415	37,216,703
	123,811	36,117,363
	104,483	4,389,453
	103,503	3,938,274
	55,055	11,704,288
	43,064	651,336
	42,927	15,476,904
Total	625,258

The number of systems sold in 2006 before the holiday rush:

1. Playstation 2 - 3,025,979
2. Nintendo DS - 2,997,870
3. Xbox 360 - 2,514,183
4. Gameboy Advance - 1,902,596
5. Playstation Portable - 1,863,700
6. Gamecube - 531,696
7. XBox - 443,981

The PS3 has sold 877,705 which means that we should expect its pre-holiday sales to be lower than the PSP's 2006 Pre-holiday sales and its sales across the holiday season would probably be lower than the PSP's 2006 holiday sales.

Basically, 1.5 is where the upper limit on the PS3's holiday sales in America should be

I am taking into account that Nintendo probably hasnt stockpiled and the PS3 recieves good price cuts and has stockpiled which Sony have with the 3million 60GB's they have in warehouses.If the PS3 sold like it was 2weeks ago at around 20k a week in the US then i would have lower predictions BUT the "pricecut" came(if it can be called that) and E3 showing was stunning and i think that 43k a week wont continue but it wont go back to 20k a week it might be 30-35k a week so same as 360 and the 360 is on its 3rd christmas so people want either the PS3 or Wii and so if you take all games out and coming out the pricecut the possible 40GB at $399 and the start of 08 lineup it isnt has wild as you first think but i am resting alot on a good price cut for Christmas which is bound to happen because it would have been on the market a year and sony always lowers the price during the first year quite a big drop usually aswell atleast $100 so plus the fact that the 60GB is $499 and if they dont go out of stock before Christmas which they wont then Sony will lower the price of the 60GB and the 80GB and the 60GB will be $399 and the 80GB will be $499 and IF they release a 40GB they will put it at $299-350 which then it will sell so well it will be stupid but i dont think Sony would put 3 SKUs on the market there arent that stupid.

Here is my expectation for PS3

PS3 Current Worldwide = 3.78 million

Americas - next 4 weeks - 120k

                8 following weeks - 180k* (Madden/Lair/Warhawk out, but $500 model is phased out)

                (GTA Releases) 4 following weeks* - 420k

                4 weeks of November - 480k

                4 weeks of December - 700k 

Japan - (20 weeks)(15,000)+ (3 weeks)(35,000) + (5 weeks)(100,000)

Europe = Americas (2/3) = 1.26 million**

PS3 LTD Sales = 7.85 million

* = These 12 weeks are the most critical for the PS3 in the Americas I think.  It will be very interesting to see if new IP can drive sales growth.  Madden will move some units, as will GTA, but both are available on 360, so I don't know exactly how many PS3s will be moved

** = PS3 has not had a Christmas season in Europe yet, so it is tough to determine how it will sell there over the holidays.

My range is 6.25 to 8.25 million by the end of the year.  Outside that range would surprise me.

To tell you the truth the two big games that are exclusive are probally Uncharted: Drakes Fortune and Unreal Tournament 3. Not counting other games like Ratchet and Clank, Heavenly Sword, Liar, Warhawk, and many others. Plus those were just the exclusives.

I generally agree except I can't see GTA 4 really having that much of an impact on PS3 sales; I personally think that the lower cost and better line-up of the XBox 360 will mean that most of the hardware purchased for GTA 4 will be XBox 360 systems.