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Forums - Sales Discussion - Kaz believes PS3 will hit 11 million sales

I can't remember exactly what Wii's fiscal target is but wouldn't PS3 need to be neck and neck or even slightly outselling it to achieve its' goal, if so Sony needs to pull an army of rabbits out of a hat!



Hus said:

Grow up and stop trolling.

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Its whether Sony can ship a 11 million for this fiscal year. I sure they can. It will be easy for them. The problem is what can they sell. They haven't sold all of the 5.5 million they shipped last fiscal year. There is no way they can sell another 11 million on top of the 1.9 million they have left over from the prior fiscal year.

Somebody needs to tell Kaz stop drinking Ken's kool-aid, someone obviously spiked it with Saki.



Nintendo plans to ship 14 million consoles during this year (which seems to be the low end of their estimate), it will most likely be 15 or 16 million this year. Going by the chart for the PS1 and PS2 we can see that both in year 1 and 2 Nintendo is shipping more consoles then the PS1 and PS2 shipped which is kind of interesting don't ya think?

Some neat things from the chart... They shipped 102.54 Million PS1's since it was released and by the end of the year they will have shipped 127.89 million PS2's. I'm a little surprised that they still expect PS2 sales to be high for awhile. They might still ship decent numbers for the PS2 for at least another 3 years.

Now there are some oddities in the numbers for the PS3, according to what's in the chart, they shipped 5.5 million PS3's from November 2006 to March 2007, they expect to ship another 11 million by next March. This would put them at a total of 16.5 million shipped consoles with sales expectations of around 13-14 million (to the home). In other words, they expect to sell 10 million consoles from now to the end of March 2008. I don't know if they can do that... there will be a lot of stuffing if they attempt to even ship 11 million consoles to the retailers. I'm not sure how well that will go over for them. I'm pretty sure Microsoft pissed off enough retailers when they did it last year.



Prepare for termination! It is the only logical thing to do, for I am only loyal to Megatron.

I reckon the maximum they will sell up to EOFY2007 will be around 10m and ship another 2-3 on top of that.

Although you never know...we don't know what will happen....another price reduction, more games out quicker and big games at that.



Prediction (June 12th 2017)

Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.

PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)

PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)

any chance somebody could find similar charts fot Nintendo and Microsoft for comparison?



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The funny thing is that they have the nerve to say they'll ship 11m PS3s but only 9m PSPs - this with better PSP sales, a worldwide price drop, and a redesign coming. And they manage to do this with a straight face. Ridiculous.



Reality has a Nintendo bias.
DarkNight_DS said:
Some neat things from the chart... They shipped 102.54 Million PS1's since it was released and by the end of the year they will have shipped 127.89 million PS2's. I'm a little surprised that they still expect PS2 sales to be high for awhile. They might still ship decent numbers for the PS2 for at least another 3 years. 

 It's not really that surprising, the PS2 is still outselling the PS3.

 Shipping 11mil units?  It's a pretty good goal to set.  But I don't think they'll break selling 6mil till at least February.  After 8 months, which included their launch AND a Christmas season, they still haven't broken 4mil.  They are absolutely flooding the channel.



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007

If its 11 million in accumulated total it would be allright .Easily achievable even .If everythings goes allright and they implement the price cut in all markets they may even sell some 9 of those 11 million to customers .If the 11 million is since march this year to march next year I find that very hard to achieve .



Diomedes1976 said:
If the 11 million is since march this year to march next year I find that very hard to achieve .

ONCE AND FOR ALL: it's a reaffirmation of their projections for this FY alone from their last finantial report.



Reality has a Nintendo bias.

And with the news that they are discontinuing production of the 60GB model it'll make this target even more absurd as once the 60s clear the shelves the price of an entry level PS3 is back to $599, though a 2nd price drop could potentially follow.

I agree with KruzeS that predicting the PS3 will outsell it's handheld cousin considering the last 6 months sales numbers is pretty ridiculous. Either Sony has some massive aces up it's sleeves which it can deliver before the end of the financial year or they're becoming even more deluded than some of the PSfanboys, I'm leaning towards the latter explanation.



Hus said:

Grow up and stop trolling.