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Forums - Sales Discussion - Kaz believes PS3 will hit 11 million sales

Get ready for massive channel stuffing! 

 

http://kotaku.com/gaming/11-million-ps3s-sold-this-year%3F/no-sweat-says-kaz-277962.php 

 

Millions of PS3's on the shelves and in warehouses 



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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yeah!!! i no it will happen!



Way before the PS3 launch Sony claimed to have the capacity to produce 2 Million PS3 systems per month ...

What kind of a surplus do you think they would have to produce before they were forced to stop production (even for a short period of time)?



If for once their marketing does a good job, no reason thats not possible. Fiscal year means March 08 right. So 5.5 million shipped already, 8 months to ship another 5.5.

They should have no trouble selling +3 million in Nov/Dec, lets low guess 2 million in the other months remember this is worldwide.

8/9 million sold to customers, 11 to retailers or shipped whatever. I dont see whats so unlikely about this.



Actually the 11 million total is for the fiscal year, so from 4/1/07 - 3/31/08.



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FishyJoe said:
Actually the 11 million total is for the fiscal year, so from 4/1/07 - 3/31/08.

 Yes, but does he mean 11mill BY 3/31/08 overall or 11 million from 4/1/07 to 3/31/08 ?



twingo said:
If for once their marketing does a good job, no reason thats not possible. Fiscal year means March 08 right. So 5.5 million shipped already, 8 months to ship another 5.5.

They should have no trouble selling +3 million in Nov/Dec, lets low guess 2 million in the other months remember this is worldwide.

8/9 million sold to customers, 11 to retailers or shipped whatever. I dont see whats so unlikely about this.

Your numbers are way too high ...

The PSP sold 402,194 Units in Japan, 1,459,561 in North America and 1,115,237 which (in total) is just under 3 Milllion units. The PSP was selling (for most of 2006) at about twice the rate the PS3 is currently selling at and has continued at that pace in 2007 ..



By 3/31/08

And yeah, way to go Kaz!   



twingo said:
If for once their marketing does a good job, no reason thats not possible. Fiscal year means March 08 right. So 5.5 million shipped already, 8 months to ship another 5.5.

They should have no trouble selling +3 million in Nov/Dec, lets low guess 2 million in the other months remember this is worldwide.

8/9 million sold to customers, 11 to retailers or shipped whatever. I dont see whats so unlikely about this.

I totally agree, I think people are just misreading.

There are probably 5.5 million+ PS3 in the channel now (including those sold to consumers and those sold to retailers). Sony needs to push 5.5 million more in the next 9 months -- including Christmas -- to achieve this goal. What's so wierd about that? I suppose they might not reach it, but it certainly isn't an absurd claim. 



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twingo said:
FishyJoe said:
Actually the 11 million total is for the fiscal year, so from 4/1/07 - 3/31/08.

Yes, but does he mean 11mill BY 3/31/08 overall or 11 million from 4/1/07 to 3/31/08 ?



11 million for the 2008 fiscal year. Total would be 16.5 million since they shipped 5.5 million for the 2007 fiscal year.