The 360 has a big lead right now, there is no reason to believe it won't keep that lead, so yeah.

Attach rate goes down late in a console's life as more and more of the install base represents repurchases, users who have moved on to newer consoles, low end customers who would only buy at a rock bottom price, etc.

However, for the first several years of a consoles lifetime, the attach rate should grow very quickly, as essentially the entire install base represents current, active users, willing to buy new software.

Time is not a minor aspect.  It's has a very large impact on it.

I have been using the 7th generation consoles in all my above examples, hence why I said start at 2005 and look forward to show how the X360, PS3 and Wii attach rates have increased year on year.

How does the GC and PS2 attach rates invalidate my point?  The PS2 has a far higher attach rate.

Updated figures for million sellers per month now that the holiday season is essentially over. It currently stands with the Wii at 1.64, the 360 at 1.70 and the PS3 at .96. It seems the Wii and 360 have once again flipped positions in which one is moving the most million sellers, although that is to be expected with all the blockbusters that hit this holiday season.

While still way too early to see the limit become apparent as yet (and very influenced by coming hot off a holiday rush) it does seem that the 360 and Wii are flipping back and forth on who has more million sellers per month. I would say this race will be a lot closer than I previously thought, and probably end in a near tie. This will change if the big blockbusters start hitting the Wii instead, but that has not happened as yet and is looking less likely as time passes on.

360, then Wii.

The market for big blockbusters is the 360 and PS3. A "Big Blockbuster" by at least my interpretation means big effects / graphics / action. These things are better suited to the horsepower of the 360 and PS3.

I am confident that at the time of the new generation launching the 360 will have more million sellers than the Wii.

MorgZ, I don't if you've been keeping up with the times or not but a game doesn't have to be a blockbuster on Wii to hit 1 million in sales.

Update :

Xbox360 : 63

Wii : 42

PS3 : 25

360 no contest unless the next xbox comes out really soon as for 2nd im still saying ps3 but it well need its whole life span to do it watever that may be

As far as blockbusters go, the Wii has the most number of 5+ million sellers and I don't see any way it's going to lose that lead.