With the recent data released by Sony, make a prediction of how much the PS5 would sell over the next 6 months. The PS5 is about 5 million behind the PS4

I have no idea cause of GTA6 and the global economic situation and how these unknown things will change from the back end if last year.

Hmm, I say 103 million.

Less than it should. Playstation profits are through the roof, forecast has been risen to $4.1 Billion operating profit this year.

They are focusing on profit over installbase now and probably for the remainder of the generation.

They will not manufacture enough PS5's to take advantage of the GTA VI launch because they are not willing to buy the amount of memory needed at current sky high prices.

I think most people that want GTA 6 already have an Xbox Series or a PS5. I think at the end of the year PS5 will be at 101.3 million, so 6 million units from July to December.

Here are some possible shipment numbers with different year-on-year percent drops:

If the last 2 quarters are down a similar amount to the June quarter, -36% year-on-year, that would be 2.6M for the September quarter and 5.1M for December quarter. That would bring lifetime shipment figures to 103 million. 

If it is down more like the March quarter, -46% year-on-year, that would be 2.2M for the September quarter and 4.3M for December quarter. That would bring lifetime shipment figures to 101.8 million. 

If somehow numbers are far worse than any of us would expect and are down 60%, that would be 1.6M for the September quarter and 3.2M for December quarter. That would bring lifetime shipment figures to 100.1 million. 

Shipment figures would have to be down by over 60% for the second half of the year for it to miss 100 million at the end of December.

Right now I am thinking around 102 million to 104 million shipped is the most likely scenario. Our estimates put the gap at around 2 million right now and we expect it to continue to close pretty much every quarter. So I am guessing we will have our sell-through estimates around 100 million to 102.5 million at the end of December. It really comes down to the PS5 NOT getting another price increase and how much Sony is able to ship for the holidays. If there are shortages it will be at the lower end.

Wasn’t it just revealed that PS4 and Xbox one account for almost 3m Weekly Active Users for GTOnline? Something like 30% of its user base. 

Shipped i would say 105 million. If the got them, they will ship them.