There will be one and maybe it's urgent... 
It will compensate the sales dive from the price hike.
I just wish they release it later than 2027, leaving room for NS1 lite...
That thing still brings profit.

Not only will there almost certainly be one, but I imagine Nintendo is probably working overtime to bring it about ASAP to keep an affordable entry level price.

With the economy in shambles and people poorer than they were this time last gen, a Lite model could be much more critical to Switch 2 than it was for Switch 1.

Right but this thread is more focused on what Nintendo can do and whether it is feasible. Many budget consumer electronics are straight up being discontinued as the already slim margins are being completely shattered by ballooning DRAM and storage costs. Only solution I can think up is a reduced RAM model with very little storage available on hardware, but this solution doesn’t seem plausible unless you’d want to see the headache of “This game is/is not compatible with Nintendo Switch 2 Lite.” on all software… and I’d imagine a vast majority of third-party would fall into the “is not” camp. Could also reduce screen size, reduce resolution, keep RAM unchanged but opt for a slightly weaker CPU with greatly reduced storage space. Hmm.

I can't see how Nintendo will avoid raising prices like Microsoft/Sony.

I predict something like 549 for the Lite 2 and 649 for the Switch 2. It isn't terrible all things considered.

I think if it isn't dawning on people yet, it will soon enough -- the next few years, maybe even up to a decade is going to be fucked for game hardware and everything you think you know about it is in flux.

A Switch 2 Lite would likely be planned in mind with a die-shrink like Switch 1 Lite had ... who knows if that's even feasible anymore, that might make it more expensive than a Switch 2 as likely better nodes have become more expensive due to AI chip production.

Maybe what they could do is keep the same node/chipset/battery, throw out the joycons and put that same chip into a small chasis with integrated controls (cheaper) and a small screen and hope that there are no overheating/cooling issues (since you would hard lock the unit to only operate in undocked mode it shouldn't generate as much heat).

That might be doable, but I wouldn't expect this to cost radically less, nor would the battery life be much better, basically your battery gain would be just whatever you get from using a smaller display. Also it wouldn't be "lighter", it would likely have to be the same weight. 

I don't think we get a Switch 2 Lite until the Switch 1 is no longer selling as much software. This FY Nintendo is still saying the Switch 1 software will sell a lot more than Switch 2 software. The Switch Lite came out when the 3DS no longer had software releases and was 1 year before Nintendo stopped 3DS production. I can see the same here where 2028 is the earliest they'll introduce a Switch 2 Lite at $100 less than the base model. Right now Nintendo has a cheap system with a huge library that is still getting a lot of games this year as a cheap alternative. Until people stop buying it I think Nintendo is fine with keeping the Switch 1 as their cheap entry system and the Switch 2 as the new premium system.

I think as long was the Switch 1 remains at it's price point going into the holiday season we may see it sell as much if not more than last year. Switch 2 I think will sell on par from last year, while despite GTA 6 both Xbox Series and PS5 will decline.

Absolutely no chance lol. YoY famitsu comparisons in June have the Switch 1 selling well less than half what it did in 2025, which was Switch 2's launch month.

The price has already risen in Japan, but even without a price rise elsewhere it'll be down in all regions. It's over 9 years old, it's not going to suddenly bounce back.

And although Nintendo's forecasts are famously bad, they are forecasting shipments less than half of what they did last year.

I wasn't talking about the full year for Switch 1 sales. I was just talking about the holidays (November and December), I think the Switch will obviously sell less for the year than last, but I think holiday sales will be about the same just because of it's price, so it's a much easier gift. 

Tricky thing with a system as successful as Switch 1 this late in its lifecycle is (a.) chances are if you are interested in Switch 1, you are among the 155M who already own one, (b.) purchasing second-hand is much cheaper than getting a NIB system (esp when you have 155M systems sold), (c.) with so few new exclusives (or games in general) releasing on the system, the market is much more niche that is looking into purchasing a Switch 1 system, etc.

A low price tag can only carry a system so far. When the software isn’t similarly inexpensive, that’s where you lose a lot of these consumers.

Hardware is just not going to sell that great in the next 5 years probably. People just need to accept that and recalibrate their expectations. The PS6 will likely have slower sales too after it's usual first week/month period. There's just too much out of the control of game hardware makers, they are small potatoes, no RAM/memory storage supplier gives a shit about Sony or Nintendo or XBox.