I voted 20-29 million units in the original poll. But with Game Pass increasing in price, Halo Day and Date on PlayStation going forward, and it possibly being a PC or more PC like device it probably will barely crack 10 million. If it's not a console, anything above 10 million seems like a stretch. It has so much competition in the PC market that selling more than 6-10 million units seems pretty crazy. 

Keep in mind Commodore 64 which was on the market globally for about 12 years and some unique features still cracked around the broad range of 12.5-17 million units. That makes it the best-selling desktop model ever. An Xbox desktop doesn't seem like it could match or surpass that. 

Honestly with the New Xbox pc hybrid rumored at 1200$..... yes... I can easily see it be 10m or less total sales.

If PS6 is like 600$, and runs slightly lower resoultion in games than the Xbox PC hybrid....
the "HALF" price thingy ontop of consumer trust and brand strength.... yes.
PS6 is gonna massively outsell Xbox next gen.

Given that Microsoft for 5 years has had a cheap Xbox series S on the market and still had some trouble cracking 30M sales this gen, i don't see how their sales don't collapse fully next gen, especially in more price sensitive markets outside the US.

What is crazy is that like over half of xbox series console sales are actually the S model.

This means if you compare actual PS5 sales vs equivalent in power series X, that is like 80m sales vs like ~16m Series X's.

It's all but guaranteed when just looking at Series X vs all models of PS5 that the ratio of PlayStation dominance will exceed even Xbox vs. PS2.

Xbox: 24.65 mil units

PS2: 160.01 mil units

PS2 outsold Xbox globally about 6.49 to 1. 

If there are about 17-18 million Series X models sold vs. 115-130 million PS5 units sold, that's around at least 7 to 1, if not closer to 8 to 1 on the higher end. 

And PS5 vs Xbox Series overall is going to end around 3 to 1, if not 4 to 1. 

As i said originally, this will be 1-2 million console generation for XBOX.
There is simply no way that they can sell more then that when all of their games will be on PS same day as on XBOX and PS6 will most likely cost much less.
Only die hard Xbox fans will buy it and i highly doubt that MS have more then few hundred thousand fans.

Likely 1-5 mil - somewhere around Steam deck numbers.

Not that it matters since digital/access is what Microsoft is after, not selling physical boxes anymore.

- Spam post removed - 

~tads12

Sales must be pretty bad : it did 1000 units first week in Spain: https://www.gamereactor.es/ventas-espana-leyendas-pokemon-z-a-debuta-arrasando-a-ea-fc-26-pero-no-mueve-consolas-switch-2-1537063

So their new device will be like $1200 dollars. So I would say 4 million total.

It depends on how many configurations they will release, and how many them will be counted under the "next gen" umbrella. For instance... where does ROG Xbox Ally fall? Is it a current gen Xbox or next gen or neither? lol.

Even if "it" sells tens of millions, many of them are bought by the same hardcore Xbox fans upgrading over and over again, and most of them will be used to play Steam games, so Valve may actually profit more from it than Microsoft themselves.

We're gonna have to wait to see what is it next-Xbox does that is unique to it in comparison to ROG Xbox Ally. It might surprise us and remain a console.