I think EVERYONE should assume Switch 2 will sell less than Switch 1. Switch 1 sales are crazy high, especially in Japan. You can't reasonably expect Switch 2 to sell just as well. 

It would be cool if it does, but definitely not what people should expect 

It's wild cause 8 and the DS one both sold very well and then 9 had a big decline and each entry started selling less than the previous one so the series wasn't doing that well but since 2018 it's become one of Nintendo's top series.

That's a good estimate, either way it will for sure be close.

PS5 is now tracking behind PS4 in Japan, launch aligned (Graph by Hiska-Kun over at Install Base)

It's incredible that PS5 was tracking ahead for so long with the price difference.  PS4 was $300 in its 3rd year. PS5 is still $500 in its 4th year . I'm expecting PS5 to outsell PS4 in Japan because of longer life cycle 

Top 30: https://nintendoeverything.com/famitsu-software-sales-10-14-24-10-20-24-top-30/

1. [NSW] Super Mario Party Jamboree – 227,569
2. [PS5] Professional Baseball Spirits 2024-2025 – 69,078 / NEW
3. [NSW] Zelda: Echoes of Wisdom – 13,273 / 281,312
4. [PS5] Dragon Ball Sparking Zero – 12,928 / 76,850
5. [PS5] Metaphor: ReFantazio – 12,492 / 95,319
6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 7,605 / 6,033,177
7. [NSW] Minecraft – 5,408 / 3,657,912
8. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 4,665 / 7,935,333
9. [PS4] Metaphor: ReFantazio – 4,610 / 29,995
10. [PS5] Silent Hill 2 – 4,287 / 33,661
11. [NSW] Nintendo Switch Sports – 3,875 / 1,147,105
12. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu World: Chikyuu wa Kibou de Mawatteru – 3,875 / 1,147,105
13. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 3,697 / 5,602,119
14. [NSW] Luigi’s Mansion 3 – 3,036 / 1,040,739
15. [NSW] Pokémon Scarlet / Violet – 3,029 / 5,426,837
16. [NSW] Powerful Pro Baseball 2024-2025 – 2,917 / 305,936
17. [NSW] EA Sports FC 25 – 2,526 / 23,244
18. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure – 2,032 / 3,645,612
19. [NSW] It Takes Two – 1,969 / 90,860
20. [NSW] Super Mario Bros. Wonder – 1,777 / 1,937,155
21. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics – 1,659 / 1,337,313
22. [NSW] Splatoon 3 – 1,621 / 4,374,321
23. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey – 1,616 / 2,515,125
24. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban – 1,516 / 3,033,673
25. [NSW] Zelda: Breath of the Wild – 1,378 / 2,335,489
26. [NSW] Pikmin 4 – 1,298 / 1,252,041
27. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Rhythm Festival – 1,297 / 358,041
28. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 Special Price – 1,291 / 200,536
29. [NSW] Kirby and the Forgotten Land – 1,289 / 1,151,564
30. [NSW] Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom – 1,280 / 2,020,925

NS - 25
PS5 - 4
PS4 - 1

It takes Two is likely over 200k when accounting for digital and the Playstation versions! Huge Japanese hit for a relatively small western dev

There was a mistake for Xbox, the new Series X DE was not mentioned : https://www.gematsu.com/2024/10/famitsu-sales-10-14-24-10-20-24

It made 2,831, that bring the total of Xbox to 4,438 units for the week 10/14/24 - 10/20/24

Yeah, impressive result considering Western games don't usually sell well in Japan. 

The Switch version alone is on track to pass 100k physical soon; seems the decision to port it to Nintendo's hybrid, something the devs initially said may not be technically possible, has paid off.

Nice, good catch. 

ShadowLink93 said:

Second-best week 42 for the Switch in it's 8th year, wow

Let's hope Sony can outsell last year's next week then and manage to make best week 45