So your telling me if they have to fight in the South China Sea, let's say one year from now, they will be stronger for it having to keep Ukraine and Isreal going? Explain how this works.

I'm not sure for Israel as I don't follow it closely but it's an important distinction to make that Israel is buying a lot of American equipment, like Taiwan buys American equipment or Poland or any other country, I don't really think even if I could find a total for Israel it would be worth comparing to Ukraine whose equipment is almost entirely free.

America's most recent military budget was $849bn for the fiscal year. Ukraine's aid amounts to around $61bn and theoretically lasts for around a year, therefore that would amount to roughly 7.2% of the $849bn passed military budget...However, I'm not actually 100% sure that Ukraine's $61bn is part of the $849bn military budget or counted as a separate thing because it's voted as a separate bill.

Maybe an American can confirm?

You said though that Ukraine and Israel are sucking the funds out of America but it isn't close to the truth, even if we only use military budget because Ukraine would only be 7.2% and Israel largely buys a lot of their equipment. Also, the vast majority of aid "sent" to Ukraine stays in America as billions of it is used to replace American stock after they send Ukraine the old stock destined for scrap in the next ~10-15 years.

So America sends Ukraine old shit that would have been scrapped anyway and billions in the passed Ukraine aid package is instead used to replace that stock with new equipment that Ukraine doesn't get, lets for example use Bradley's as an example, America has sent Ukraine ~300 but they have literally thousands in storage and Bradley is being replaced by XM30.

America is ranked #17 as a % of GDP for aid sent to Ukraine but America has a military budget bigger than China and Russia combined, heck, throw a few other countries on that list too and America would still be beating them all combined. Also, like I said, America would fight China using ships and planes, none of which they've sent to Ukraine and they have one of the largest air-forces and naval-forces in the world still.

China's modern military isn't even battle-tested, it's all on paper right now, Russia has shown us something though, America massively overestimated Russia's military capabilities and could probably easily kick their ass even with half the military budget they have right now, but of course, America's military budget never was for only Russia, it was always designed for two adversaries; Russia and China.

A Cold War. Indeed. But I can't see how it stays cold when land is a the center of the issue, it's not like the cold War in that regard, they're not civil wars. These are wars for land outside of the countries pursuing these conflicts, they can't stay cold. If Taiwan is the next on the list of invasions the best we can hope for is for it to be fought in the air and sea. 

The South China Sea

****SEA****

What do you think America will use to fight a war on the seas?

It won't be as simple as that, The moment Taiwan is put in jeopardy or God knows if China manage to invade then shit goes wild real fast, so many countries are going to be extremely pissed from Japan down to Austrailia, many are in Chinas pocket. A lot of Islands there it becomes a real mess on the map. But...yes. We can hope that it stays naval but we just don't know how it'll shake out. How did they fight World War 2 in the same sea? It wasn't just confined to naval and Air warfare. 

Germany's chancellor has done a great job at escalation management, but his days in office are limited. He'll likely make it to the finish line in September 2025 when Germany elects its next government, but he has absolutely no chance of winning again. In the three most recent regional elections in Germany, Putin-friendly political parties have combined for roughly 45% in each one. The writing is on the wall.

As history has taught us, World Wars are started by the Germans.

Humans have change quite a bit since WW2.  What large scale wars have China fought and won lately, do you really think China wants to test their inexperienced army in a WW?  The UK has completely changed from a hundred plus years ago and are pretty peaceful people.  All of the USA allies are peaceful for the most part, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, most of Europe, Japan etc. (not so much Israel).  China and the USA depend on each other so much for trade, that neither will ever want war with each other.  Anyone that would try and attack America in the USA would lose, it's too big.  Same with China, if anyone tried to attack China on Chinese soil they would lose.

That is flat-out wrong!

I just wanna address two things here, the rest I'm not knowledgeable enough to talk on. You said the US has more military budget than China but we don't know China's true spending, it's all calculated from what can be seen as them spending but even those calculations are pretty high, half a trillion so half the US budget. They have much shrouded in secret, their Nuclear weapons programme for one and it wouldn't surprise me should they keep a lot of other R&D secret too.

Second thing, China has so many more fighting age men it's unbelievable. Even if there was a draft in the US they'd still have so, so many more. Not to mention so many US men will fail bootcamp for many reasons. If China wants to invade, they don't need military equipment, they need able bodied men and they have a lot of them and a lot tougher too than the US where so many are over weight. 

😆 

It'd be remarkably funny if that turned out to be the case. Germany was already involved early with the pipeline though, so already partly true (if we are early in WW3).