Rift Apart passed 4 millions well over a year ago before the PC version released. It was also heavily bundled (hence the weaker digital ratio). AstroBot is yet to benefit from bundles.

Sony announces sales randomly. Gran Turismo Sport shipped 13 million copies (sold 12.7 million) as of February 2022 per the Isomniac leak. And yet Sony never officially announced figures.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/247906/playstation-first-party-game-sales-leak-data-from-feb-2022/1/

A lot of games on the list above sold better than expected.

Gran Turismo 7, at like 3 or 4 times the average price of Sport, seems to have better sales and legs than Sport, and yet Sony refuses to announce anything.

Because 10M is what the biggest Sony games reach, meanwhile Sony has not been very into plaformers since the PS1 days.

I loved Astro and I wish it the best, but I would be surprised to see it selling like stuff like Ghost of Tsushima or Horizon Forbidden West.

And just like that Zelda EoW outsold lifetime sales of Asstrobot in Japan. Facts.

And more than than 10x sold 1st week compared to Asstrobot. Wait til we see Worldwide sales. Sorry Asstrobot you never had a chance. Facts.

Sony biggest actually reach 20m on PS4 (GOW/Uncharted/Horizon Zero Dawn/Spiderman/TLOU etc)

10m would be an incredible achievement and shouldn't be expected but I think its very much within the realms of possibility. 5-6m is honestly the floor (again using Ratchet as reference), so 7-8m imo is a realistic target.

For now we can only predict but I think I think the critical reception/ word of mouth actually translating into post launch week sales is what is telling. Games like Horizon did not excel in this area without bundles or price cuts, whereas Astro is reclaiming no.1 in UK/France/Switzerland in its 3rd week ahead of multiplatform titles and without much marketing push and no bundles. That's a very good indicator of an evergreen. In Japan its sales trajectory doesn't resemble any past 1st party title. This week in Japan its flat week on week and is the best selling title outside of the new releases.  

But we'll have to wait and see if this momentum continues into the holiday.

Astrobot is the front runner for the game of the year but Zelda is still Zelda. I expect Zelda to sell more. It will be interesting to see where Astro winds up though.

Which is exactly what I said it would do one page ago.

Astro Bot showing strong legs so far.

I initially thought Astro would tap out around 5M+ lifetime sales, but with its GoTY level reviews, I can see it selling over 10M+ lifetime.

You wish.

May i ask, just curious.

Whats the hate you have against sony/astrobot why would you not hope one of the highest reviewed 3d platformer of all time would sell 10mill units?

Only because its not mario?

Just curious.