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Forums - Sales Discussion - JAPAN Consoles Showdown 2024: April 21st

 

Will the PS5 sell more than 2M in 2024?

Yes 5 27.78%
 
No 13 72.22%
 
Total:18
DonFerrari on 19 January 2024

Checking-in to see how the year will progress and how PS5 and Switch drop in Japan will be.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Around the Network
DonFerrari on 19 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

XBOX Series does not beat XBOX 360'08 but does beat XBOX 360'11

  • XBOX Series 170k


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!

You are much more positive about the sales than myself (and for both systems) =]



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

XtremeBG on 26 January 2024

Numbers have been updated with WEEK 3 from Famitsu.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

DonFerrari on 26 January 2024
XtremeBG said:

Numbers have been updated with WEEK 3 from Famitsu.

It was a good week for Spiderman2 and quite strong one for PS5 as well.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

XtremeBG on 01 February 2024

Numbers have been updated with WEEK 4 from Famitsu.

Charts will be updated with the next week, since when VGChartz estimates for January are out, the will be till 3rd of February, just like NPD ones.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

Around the Network
Shtinamin_ on 01 February 2024

Are the sales for PS5 increasing due to hype for FFVII Rebirth?



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

XtremeBG on 01 February 2024
Shtinamin_ said:

Are the sales for PS5 increasing due to hype for FFVII Rebirth?

Having 2023 weekly sales in mind, I think it's mostly keeping it's (now) normal pace of 40-50k weekly.

I personally think this year will be the peak year for PS5 sales in Japan, reaching maybe something close to 3M.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

Shtinamin_ on 01 February 2024
XtremeBG said:
Shtinamin_ said:

Are the sales for PS5 increasing due to hype for FFVII Rebirth?

Having 2023 weekly sales in mind, I think it's mostly keeping it's (now) normal pace of 40-50k weekly.

I personally think this year will be the peak year for PS5 sales in Japan, reaching maybe something close to 3M.

That makes more sense. But I do expect the boost in PS5 sales in Feb due to FFVII R.

Comparing Jan 2024 to Jan 2023:
Switch -23.3% decline
PS5 -1.5% decline
Xbox Series +178.5% increase

If this trend is to continue
Switch 3.03M
PS5 2.50M
Xbox Series 252k.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

DonFerrari on 02 February 2024
Shtinamin_ said:
XtremeBG said:

Having 2023 weekly sales in mind, I think it's mostly keeping it's (now) normal pace of 40-50k weekly.

I personally think this year will be the peak year for PS5 sales in Japan, reaching maybe something close to 3M.

That makes more sense. But I do expect the boost in PS5 sales in Feb due to FFVII R.

Comparing Jan 2024 to Jan 2023:
Switch -23.3% decline
PS5 -1.5% decline
Xbox Series +178.5% increase

If this trend is to continue
Switch 3.03M
PS5 2.50M
Xbox Series 252k.

People were waiting for the january sales of PS5 to see if the demand of the slim had been met and a big drop would come or if it would sustain a 50k/week I would say we are on a nice start so far. And switch with less than 25% drop is just fantastic.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

XtremeBG on 10 February 2024

Numbers and charts have been updated with WEEK 5 from Famitsu.
Sorry for the late update.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts