konnichiwa said:
1. Yes I notice but then Nintendo really don't had any concurrention at that time. What about the headstart of the Genesis for example? It was the closest generation in history (SNES/Genesis). Closest in Europe and America;..But genesis was not loved by the Japanese everybody knows that. It didn't sold 3.60 million in Japan and you call that concurention? Snes sold 17 million in Japan. 2. The most people on this site don't had a Snes. The most started with an Playstation, N64. There was a thread "How old are you". Most people are between 18-25 years old. I am pretty sure most of them started with SNES/Genesis, a lot of them already with NES. And then we have a bunch of "old" guys here that started with the Atari 2600. I would say that many people on this forum generally have a lot of experience/knowledge considering the history of videogames. I am 20 ,at that time 6,7 I didn't know how the market was at that time, didn't know how good Genesis sold or bad he did or how long the lifespan was of any console.
With Playstation,N64 launch many people went on the internet for the first time and found it out. 3. It is to early to predict everything. To early to know how the market will react if they can't buy
an game like GTA...What will wii players do? Will they buy a X360 or an PS3 for those games? In fact it's not too early to predict the outcome of this generation, some people claim that the entire 7th generation was in Nintendo's bag since september 18th 2005, the day they revealed the Wiimote. Considering GTA, it isn't that clear what will happen, but Rockstar has to do quite a lot of work to make GTA IV appealing to casual gamers that have already played the 3 installments on the PS2. I think it's safe to say that most people won't pay 400$ or more for a console to play GTA. GTA is only one game their are a lot of games. Like sport games. Many people want a soccer game
that looks great (Europe) and buy an Fifa game (also when gamers know PES is better). Fifa sold a lot more because non-gamers go for the visuals. Many people say that some Xbox fans and PS fans bought an Wii but will those fans also buy an PS3 or X360 later. Most developers are shifting their resources already to the Wii. So far those games are most of the time spinoffs of the major franchises, but once the better teams of each developer are done with their 360/PS3 projects they will probably make the next game exclusively for Wii. It would be financial suicide to ignore the Wii or only put shovelware on it. Most people don't see a need to own a second system anyway. They choose one console for the whole generation, the one which has the best game library in their opinions, not the best graphics or the most multimedia features. That was true in the sixth generation the visuals and the power between the two consoles was
not so special but they are now. Developping a game for the Wii is something else then develop one for the X360 or PS3, a lot of gamers still go for the visuals I still can remember the time when Xbox launched and many people say I bought an Xbox because it haves better graphics for his games. Developpers like Epic, God Of war, Rockstar always want to produce super visual games and especially epic games will have a port later to PC why make an exclusive to the wii with really a small market againt the PC market they want to sell their games on the PC market to, PC gamers go a lot for visuals just watch the comments of the people when they saw some footage of Crysis...Oh it looks great I will buy it... Also funny is that not first party developpers on the Wii just make a port to the PS2 (Uhm Tony Hawk Down Hill Jam) so they will have more profit and good for Sony another reason why PS2 will longer.
The Wii is an incridible machine but will it last for years? Every console that has strong software support can last for 7+ years. The losing systems are the ones which die faster. Wii will have a strong software support so will PS3 and X360. Will Nintendo release a Wii 2 in a couple of years that can play games like GTA 4.... I think that there will be a Wii 2 somewhere in 2010 with the same hardware like a PS3 or an X360 that they can sold for less than 300 bucks. Nintendo did not replace their losing systems (N64, GC) before 5 years were over. Why would they replace a winning system faster and start the next generation of consoles? The losing companies will always be the first, to get a headstart over the competition. PS2 got a headstart before GC .... WAS PS one LOSING? Nintendo fans can buy 2 consoles around a periode of five years for the same price like a PS3 or an X360. Why would Nintendo not do that? Because Nintendo isn't stupid. If they were, they would have made an overpowered expensive console like Microsoft and Sony. Just look at the sales charts and tell me how much processing power is worth if it comes to strong sales. Because the price of an proccessing power like PS3 and X360 is very expensive and both companies
have to sell it for with a lose at every unit. Probably from now and three years the PS3 and X360 will be
around 300 bucks and they don't lose anything anymore with every sale so Nintendo could launch Wii 2
with the same hardware as the other two and the same gameplay as the Wii, Wii fans would have games
like zelda, Mario, Metroid with better visuals and will have a huge fanbase that surely will go to the Wii 2. Do you think they say 'We want that Wii becomes the best selling machine of all time'? Of course. Which company wouldn't want to become their system marketleader and the best selling machine of all time? Ofcourse they want but damned difficult to explain...If Nintendo could launch Wii 2 and have more profit
and more users who will flip to Wii 2 they would prefer that then be the best selling machine of all time
I think... | 
