Blue3 said: rocketpig said:
Thanks for proving my point. While your average Joe can't PROVE that man landed on the moon, all verifiable evidence points to that being the case.
While no one outside of Sony can prove that they can't sell the PS3 for $300, all verifiable evidence points to that being the case. |
actually no evidence points to that. No one here know how much 65 nano chips, droping BR costs and lack of emotion engine will save on hardware production. ADD the fact of BR domiation of hddvd, no one here knows how much BR success off sets PS3 costs short term or long term. |
Right, we don't "know". But we can "prove" it doesn't save 300 dollars, just as we can "prove" man landed on the moon. Why are you not getting it? Why are you even defending this?Let's put it this way: if the recent and inevitable reductions in manufactoring costs lower the cost of production by over 300 dollars in one fell swoop, that would be historically unprecedented.
Also, we know that BR is not dominating HD-DVD (it's likely to win, but it certainly isn't dominating yet), and we know that companies don't offset costs by pulling all the profits from other divisions. Sony won't say: "Well, we made a bunch of money in this division, so we can afford to bleed endless amounts of money in this other division." Do they invest -- and expect to take a loss -- on the PS3 console? Yes. Do they just pour the profits of all their other Sony divisions into the PS3 in hopes of increasing market share? Not if their share holders have any say in it.
And most importantly, no, we don't know how much the recent improvements drop production costs. But I bet a lot of us -- Rocketpig and I included -- can make educated guesses based on previous experience with hardware. Especially hardware outside the console market. I can tell you from my experience that a sudden drop of 300 dollars in manufacturing costs is almost impossible, and definitely unprecedented. Do I know the specific numbers? No, I can't prove what they are, but I can tell you from all historical evidence what the approximate reduction would be. Have I seen Buzz Aldrin's actual footprint on the Moon to verify he was there? No, I've never been to the Moon, either, but I can assume he was there because of the media coverage.
The evidence is there, Blue, you just don't like it. Historically speaking, 300 dollar reductions in production costs just don't happen for products of this kind. There's your evidence. If you can find any console that managed to lop 300 dollars off production costs from quick improvements of this kind -- or, in fact, any consumer electronic equipment priced 500-800 dollars -- I'll give you a cookie. Here's a hint: you won't find one.