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Forums - Sales - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

angrypoolman said:

If the switch can hit its forecast for fiscal year ending march 2026 and it can just sell half the amount every year that will mean it will pass a certain console in... well lets see

2027: 156.12 + 2 = 158.12
2028: 158.12 + 1 = 159.12
2029: 159.12 + 0.5 = 159.62
2030: 159.62 + 0.25 = 159.87
2031: 159.87 + 0.125 = 159.995
2032: 159.995 + 0.0625 = 160.0575

Itll take until 2032. Thats not even that long from now. So all nintendo needs to do is sell half they did the previous year for the next 6 years and its guaranteed

Nintendo won't be shipping any Switch consoles in 2031, let alone 2032. Even 2030 having shipments is a stretch. 



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XtremeBG said:
angrypoolman said:

If the switch can hit its forecast for fiscal year ending march 2026 and it can just sell half the amount every year that will mean it will pass a certain console in... well lets see

2027: 156.12 + 2 = 158.12
2028: 158.12 + 1 = 159.12
2029: 159.12 + 0.5 = 159.62
2030: 159.62 + 0.25 = 159.87
2031: 159.87 + 0.125 = 159.995
2032: 159.995 + 0.0625 = 160.0575

Itll take until 2032. Thats not even that long from now. So all nintendo needs to do is sell half they did the previous year for the next 6 years and its guaranteed

With all of these the point that someone (I found him, it was @Soundwave) made about marathon vs sprint, will be killed. It won't be no more " for 8 years Switch sold so much more " cuz by the time Switch reaches the other console, it will be 15 years vs 13 years lifespan. Or switch will have sold about 150k less units for the same time of 13 years .. It then can even be "switched" vice versa, and to tell that for 13 years, the other console sold 150k more units than the Switch and Switch needed 2 more years to get there.

All that matters are rings baby



Total Championships: Nintendo - 4, Sony - 2, Atari - 1, Microsoft - 0, Sega - 0

trunkswd said:
CourageTCD said:

With the release of the March 2026 sales data, I've summed every Switch month sales from April 2025 until now, and the result is... 4 million units sold! 4,040,723 to be more precise

We shall see where it actually lands. The plan is for us to close the gap between shipped and sold pretty much every quarter at this point. Though even once Nintendo stops production it will still be sold for a couple more years. 

Trunksy, no need to close the gap. 

There is a million plus untracked sales from importing.

That explains the gap. 



angrypoolman said:

If the switch can hit its forecast for fiscal year ending march 2026 and it can just sell half the amount every year that will mean it will pass a certain console in... well lets see

2027: 156.12 + 2 = 158.12
2028: 158.12 + 1 = 159.12
2029: 159.12 + 0.5 = 159.62
2030: 159.62 + 0.25 = 159.87
2031: 159.87 + 0.125 = 159.995
2032: 159.995 + 0.0625 = 160.0575

Itll take until 2032. Thats not even that long from now. So all nintendo needs to do is sell half they did the previous year for the next 6 years and its guaranteed

Fingers crossed that  eventually it hit the pre-revised target, I e 4.5m. Given they had to restock it every piece and tomodachi boost. 

It could also sell a bit more than the half amount the year after.

156.6+2.5m 159.1m 27

159.1m+1.1m 160.2 28

160.2+700k 160.9 29

?                             30

Ps2 holds the longevity record, which is 13 years, NS can't stand more than that... 

It has the potential to approach 160m for sure,it depends on Nintendo manufacturing plans and when they launch an ns2 lite. 

Last edited by tak13 - on 23 April 2026

Lol

Google gemini is giving a 95% chance of Nintendo switch hitting 160m milestone based on this thread of our community. 

Last edited by tak13 - on 23 April 2026

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tak13 said:
angrypoolman said:

If the switch can hit its forecast for fiscal year ending march 2026 and it can just sell half the amount every year that will mean it will pass a certain console in... well lets see

2027: 156.12 + 2 = 158.12
2028: 158.12 + 1 = 159.12
2029: 159.12 + 0.5 = 159.62
2030: 159.62 + 0.25 = 159.87
2031: 159.87 + 0.125 = 159.995
2032: 159.995 + 0.0625 = 160.0575

Itll take until 2032. Thats not even that long from now. So all nintendo needs to do is sell half they did the previous year for the next 6 years and its guaranteed

Fingers crossed that  eventually it hit the pre-revised target, I e 4.5m. Given they had to restock it every piece and tomodachi boost. 

It could also sell a bit more than the half amount the year after.

156.6+2.5m 159.1m 27

159.1m+1.1m 160.2 28

160.2+700k 160.9 29

?                             30

Ps2 holds the longevity record, which is 13 years, NS can't stand more than that... 

It has the potential to approach 160m for sure,it depends on Nintendo manufacturing plans and when they launch an ns2 lite. 

We shall not talk about the **2 here in this thread



Do you guys remember what were the forescat shipments for the DS after the release of the 3DS?



CourageTCD said:
tak13 said:

Fingers crossed that  eventually it hit the pre-revised target, I e 4.5m. Given they had to restock it every piece and tomodachi boost. 

It could also sell a bit more than the half amount the year after.

156.6+2.5m 159.1m 27

159.1m+1.1m 160.2 28

160.2+700k 160.9 29

?                             30

Ps2 holds the longevity record, which is 13 years, NS can't stand more than that... 

It has the potential to approach 160m for sure,it depends on Nintendo manufacturing plans and when they launch an ns2 lite. 

We shall not talk about the **2 here in this thread

It's prohibited?

I just mentioned how much a console has lasted the most in the global market. 

It's not a console casus belli citation, is it? 



tak13 said:
CourageTCD said:

We shall not talk about the **2 here in this thread

It's prohibited?

I just mentioned how much a console has lasted the most in the global market. 

It's not a console casus belli citation, is it? 

I suggest you read the mod note in the first post. Basically we can only talk about Nintendo here otherwise: ban



CourageTCD said:

Do you guys remember what were the forescat shipments for the DS after the release of the 3DS?

2.5m