Now I think it'll definitely sell over 70mil (was unsure before) and it has way better chances of outselling the X360.

It'll cause a significant boost for sure though I think the 90-99.9m and the 100m or more voters are getting carried away since sales that high would mean the PS5 gets outsold and does worse than the PS3. This should guarantee Xbox winning NA though which is big.

Too hard to say at this moment, I would think at least 70 million. Microsoft doesn't really care how many Xbox's they sell, they only care about how many gamepass subscriptions they have. To them it doesn't matter where you are paying for that service, they could be streaming it on Xbox, pc, mac, steamdecks, phones, tablets, other dedicated devices, possibly on future Nintendo or Sony consoles. The bottom line is selling those gamepass subscriptions.

If COD, Elder Scrolls, etc. are console exclusive ... MS beats Sony in North America at the very least.

If Microsoft chooses to make games like COD, DOOM, Elder Scrolls, etc. console exclusives, then Microsoft has a pretty significant advantage in the West (not sure if this will make a significant difference in Asia outside of maybe COD, since PS has a bigger presence in that region compared to Microsoft and Nintendo is a dominant force in Korea, Taiwan, and Japan compared to the other two). If Microsoft chooses to allow COD to remain multiplatform, I'm not sure how much being in Microsoft's corner will suddenly get consumers to come back to their side after leaning towards PS4 for their COD fix. I guess, in a way, if the acquisition helps build their Game Pass subscriptions and such, Microsoft can build some significant revenue.

In regards to hardware sales, I can't really tell. Mainly because I don't know how Microsoft will use these IPs. People are speculating getting Crash and Spyro new games or a new Diablo or getting Overwatch 2 back on track. But how long would those projects be done by to make it work out for Xbox Series? How many of these potential projects be console exclusives or multiplats? Hard to tell from both the short- and long-term.

Let's not forget gamepass, GamePass is pretty much one of the main reasons Activision-Blizzard was purchased. Don't be surprised if these end up xbox/pc/gamepass exclusives. PS and Nin want Cod, Diablo and TES? Then welcome Gamepass

XBS is already on the right path of outselling X360. It's 100M+ from me

Lets say it sells 50 million units in NA. More than the 360. Where do the other 50 million units come from?

I'd be surprised if it does that much for xbox outside of NA tbh and we're yet to see how Sony reply to this.

There has still not been a Bethesda Xbox exclusive announced that pulls existing communities from Playstation. Not saying it won't come but people are jumping the gun here. We have Redfall and Starfield which are new IPs and fall in line with Phil's prior comments. When Elderscrolls VI gets properly confirmed as an exclusive, then it'll be a different story.

OP: Even if we assume mainline COD and Elderscrolls become exclusive, we probably won't see this come into effect until late in the generation (late 2024)at which point I think it'll be a bit late to turn the tides. I'd put Series consoles at 70-80m before the announcement and maybe move the needle to 80-85m after