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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu sales: Week 1, 2022 - (27th Dec - 2nd Jan)

kirby007 said:

Probably on nodemand.com with backup @ oledseverywhere.org

I didn’t see anything on those sites, maybe I’ll check noshortagesinjapan.com next.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 48, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 05)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-48-2021-nov-29-dec-05.330/post-21812

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 48, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 05)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-48-2021-nov-29-dec-05.330/post-22670

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 48, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 05)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-48-2021-nov-29-dec-05.330/post-22799

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 48, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 05)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-48-2021-nov-29-dec-05.330/post-23424

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 49, 2021 (Dec 06 - Dec 12)'

https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-49-2021-dec-06-dec-12.370/post-24067

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 49, 2021 (Dec 06 - Dec 12)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-49-2021-dec-06-dec-12.370/post-24511

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 49, 2021 (Dec 06 - Dec 12)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-49-2021-dec-06-dec-12.370/post-23787

Post in thread 'Media Create Sales: Week 49, 2021 (Dec 06 - Dec 12)'
https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/media-create-sales-week-49-2021-dec-06-dec-12.370/post-23833



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Heh so atleast untill 28 november there was an supply issue based on the sporadic sales.
Which again those posts dont disprove. Honestly based on how steady that +-90k beginning week of 6 dec and afterwards im taking the logical step thats the supply limit.
Yes seeing stock on shelves is not selling out at that moment in time but that doesnt equal no shortages over a timeperiod

Its a sign of more availability



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Also week 2 shows last week as 93k for week 1 which means week 52 is 100k (190-90) and not 10k



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Probably a broken formula - I will fix it with next week's numbers thanks for catching that @kirby007.
Hopefully by next week we would also have the official figures for 52/1, according to Chris supply for OLED those weeks was actually bigger that what did since I went with 50% of overall Switch sales for both weeks.

In anycase the main point of the graph was to demonstrate that it took half the time for Switch OLED to reach the same figures as the PS5 did in its first half an year. It has slowed the decline of Switch hardware, without the OLED - demand would have truly slowed. Guess the minor improvements like longer battery, better screen, LAN Build in helped tremendously considering the higher price. 



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312K --> 196K

Call this "chip shortage" or whatever. For me this is the beginning of the end, next machine announced beginning of 2023.



Amnesia said:

312K --> 196K

Call this "chip shortage" or whatever. For me this is the beginning of the end, next machine announced beginning of 2023.

Makes sense, but don't forget that a price cut can still prolong it. And in other regions like Europe the Switch seems to have the potential for a longer life than in Japan, since it had it's biggest week ever in Europe just recently. The next machine will likely be announced or at least teased in 2023, but not necessarily at the start of the year.



kirby007 said:

Heh so atleast untill 28 november there was an supply issue based on the sporadic sales.
Which again those posts dont disprove. Honestly based on how steady that +-90k beginning week of 6 dec and afterwards im taking the logical step thats the supply limit.
Yes seeing stock on shelves is not selling out at that moment in time but that doesnt equal no shortages over a timeperiod

Its a sign of more availability

And that’s what I said from the beginning, I didn’t claim OLED never had shortages, I said it did at launch but has been solved since early December.

I’m also not claiming there are mountains of OLED models sitting and waiting to be sold, like Hiska & Chris mentioned, supply and demand were at similar levels so Switch selling 90k+/week but shipping 100k+/week would still mean relatively limited stock early in the month but retailers were not holding lotteries and there weren’t scalpers selling it above retail price which are indicators that shortages are gone.

It’s not like Nintendo could ship 150k/week and all of a sudden OLED sales would jump to 140k+.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
kirby007 said:

Heh so atleast untill 28 november there was an supply issue based on the sporadic sales.
Which again those posts dont disprove. Honestly based on how steady that +-90k beginning week of 6 dec and afterwards im taking the logical step thats the supply limit.
Yes seeing stock on shelves is not selling out at that moment in time but that doesnt equal no shortages over a timeperiod

Its a sign of more availability

And that’s what I said from the beginning, I didn’t claim OLED never had shortages, I said it did at launch but has been solved since early December.

I’m also not claiming there are mountains of OLED models sitting and waiting to be sold, like Hiska & Chris mentioned, supply and demand were at similar levels so Switch selling 90k+/week but shipping 100k+/week would still mean relatively limited stock early in the month but retailers were not holding lotteries and there weren’t scalpers selling it above retail price which are indicators that shortages are gone.

It’s not like Nintendo could ship 150k/week and all of a sudden OLED sales would jump to 140k+.

Amazon OLED  now is only with 3rd party retailers above the standard price. 



Famitsu 2021 top 30

##. NSW - PS4 - PS5

01. 29 - 01 - 00
02. 29 - 01 - 00
03. 28 - 02 - 00
04. 28 - 02 - 00
05. 27 - 03 - 00
06. 27 - 03 - 00
07. 27 - 03 - 00
08. 26 - 04 - 00
09. 26 - 04 - 00
10. 26 - 03 - 01
11. 26 - 02 - 02
12. 29 - 01 - 00
13. 28 - 02 - 00
14. 28 - 01 - 01
15. 29 - 01 - 00
16. 28 - 02 - 00
17. 25 - 04 - 01
18. 25 - 03 - 02
19. 25 - 03 - 02
20. 23 - 05 - 02
21. 24 - 04 - 02
22. 24 - 04 - 02
23. 24 - 05 - 01
24. 22 - 05 - 03
25. 24 - 04 - 02
26. 22 - 07 - 01
27. 26 - 03 - 01
28. 27 - 03 - 00
29. 28 - 02 - 00
30. 28 - 01 - 01
31. 26 - 04 - 00
32. 30 - 00 - 00
33. 30 - 00 - 00
34. 28 - 01 - 01
35. 25 - 03 - 02
36. 28 - 02 - 00
37. 25 - 04 - 01
38. 23 - 04 - 03
39. 24 - 03 - 03
40. 22 - 06 - 02
41. 23 - 06 - 01
42. 18 - 09 - 03
43. 22 - 07 - 01
44. 21 - 08 - 01
45. 22 - 06 - 02
46. 22 - 07 - 01
47. 25 - 04 - 01
48. 26 - 03 - 01
49. 27 - 03 - 00
50. 30 - 00 - 00
51. 30 - 00 - 00
52. 28 - 01 - 01

Source: InstalBase (Chris1964)