| Jumpin said: Reminds me a little of 2009 with the Wii, although the situations and reasons are different. With the Wii, 2008 was its strongest year, but Autumn 2009 was its strongest quarter overall. It’s looking like it might be that with the Switch. Although, schedule-wise, 2022 is feeling more like 2009. Wii’s most robust year of software releases and feature expansions was 2009, and 2022 is feeling like it’s going to be Switch’s. If Switch is like Wii over an X2 elongated timeframe, it means that guy is right… Switch will hit a cliff sometime around 2025 or 2026 :( In all seriousness, though, the cliff prediction didn’t happen. It was supposed to occur in mid-2019, now we’re about to enter 2022. The guy kept pushing back the date again and again. The reasoning turned from “Switch can still flop” to “it’s inevitable Switch will see sales decline” just to soften the blow on the fact that Switch didn’t flop… rather, it’s destined for the top 3, and has a decent shot at becoming the top selling dedicated video game system in history. The DS is the only system ever that maintained this high level of demand beyond the 100m mark, even PS2 coasted in the ~12-15 m range past this point - it just kept it up for years into the Wii generation. DS could have kept going too, it’s like Nintendo just told us one day “no more DS games, everything’s on 3DS now” That wasn’t really a cliff for DS, it was manufactured attempt to transfer sales to their next handheld. |
There are many reasons the PS2 has as high of sales as it did. Extended life, price, it being the cheapest dvd player one could get for a while, the PS3 tanking out of the gate due to price, decline of Sega, Xbox not doing well out the gate, GameCube bombing, and more. This is why I put an * by their sales numbers. It would have sold tens of millions less if not for a bunch of coincidentally amazing things going its way.
