How much will Switch sell this calendar year? | |||
| under 20 million. I am a troll. | 1 | 1.64% | |
| 20 - 23.9 million, a large drop from 2020 | 3 | 4.92% | |
| 24 - 25.9 million, a modest drop from 2020 | 9 | 14.75% | |
| 26 - 27.9 million, a slight drop from 2020 | 26 | 42.62% | |
| 28.0 - 28.9 million, about the same as 2020 | 11 | 18.03% | |
| 29.0 - 30.9 million, a slight increase 2020 | 6 | 9.84% | |
| 31 - 32.9 million, a modest increase 2020 | 2 | 3.28% | |
| 33 - 40 million, a large increase from 2020 | 0 | 0% | |
| over 40 million. I am a troll. | 3 | 4.92% | |
| Total: | 61 | ||
The December 2020 Switch sales were supply constrained so I feel like there’s good opportunities to finish at over 26 million this year.
26m-26.5m, so 1.5m-2m down on last year.
I was really conflicted between under 20 million and over 40 million. I chose the ladder.
| Ka-pi96 said: >1 |
I'll take you up on that.
>3
I count on the OLED model and say slightly up YoY. I hope supply is sufficient. Last chance to break 30M.
A little less than last year, probably between 26 and 27 million.
My signature now seems to be out of date.
| javi741 said: In terms of shipments, so far the Switch sold 4.72 & 4.45 the first 2 Quarters of the calender year bringing the total to 9.17 so far this year. I'm expecting another 4 Million shipped in Q3 then 11 Million for the holiday quarter. Which adds up to around 24 Million Sold for this calendar year |
4 million is a little low for me and would be very dissapointing. Nintendo Always ship way more than they sell in Fiscal Year Q2 in preparation for the holiday build up. Looking at vgchartz sell through data for FYQ2 confirms this, this is sell through figures versus shipments for all Q2's for NSW. 2017 sold 2.13m shipped 2.93m, 2018 sold 2.48m, shipped 3.19m, 2019 sold 3.41m shipped 4.80m, 2020 sold 5.14m shipped 6.86m, 2021 sold 3.87m shipped 5.30m?. As you can see shipments are always 30% to 40% higher than sold through. Q2 is the only quarter where shipments always outnumber sold through and by a big margin. In 2019 NSW sold through 460k less than this year but still shipped 4.80m, if this trend continues then the 3.87m sold through vgchartz estimates should translate into about 5.30m shipped. And i also hope the holiday does more than 11m, i'm hoping it will break the 11.89m record of DS and this is probably the last chance Switch has of breaking it before sales inevitably taper off.
Last edited by ShadowLink93 - on 24 October 2021
I voted 29-30.9m. I think Switch will be up this year. I think it could be up more than this, but the chip shortage will keep it to a slight increase. I do think Switch is likely to break the all time annual sales record this year, but it will be close.
I am kind of surprised at how many people think Switch will be down this year. I also see that as pretty unlikely. However, maybe the rest of you have a better feel for the chip shortage than I do.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox
About Us |
Terms of Use |
Privacy Policy |
Advertise |
Staff |
Contact
Display As Desktop
Display As Mobile
© 2006-2024 VGChartz Ltd. All rights reserved.
