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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict Switch 2021 sales (calendar year)

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How much will Switch sell this calendar year?

under 20 million. I am a troll. 1 1.64%
 
20 - 23.9 million, a large drop from 2020 3 4.92%
 
24 - 25.9 million, a modest drop from 2020 9 14.75%
 
26 - 27.9 million, a slight drop from 2020 26 42.62%
 
28.0 - 28.9 million, about the same as 2020 11 18.03%
 
29.0 - 30.9 million, a slight increase 2020 6 9.84%
 
31 - 32.9 million, a modest increase 2020 2 3.28%
 
33 - 40 million, a large increase from 2020 0 0%
 
over 40 million. I am a troll. 3 4.92%
 
Total:61
ShadowLink93 on 03 December 2021
Zippy6 said:
ShadowLink93 said:

I thought Vgchartz 2020 total was 28.2m? Has that number just recently been adjusted down to 27.8m?

I think it was adjusted down to 27.8m many months ago now. But it's not like it's easy to see yearly figures anywhere as the yearly "legacy" charts stop in 2018, so most people will never know about the adjustments when the only way to get the yearly figure is to add all the current weekly data together lol.

Well i just checked out the yearly hardware data in the Charts tab and Switch 2020 total says 28,293,919.



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Zippy6 on 03 December 2021
ShadowLink93 said:
Zippy6 said:

I think it was adjusted down to 27.8m many months ago now. But it's not like it's easy to see yearly figures anywhere as the yearly "legacy" charts stop in 2018, so most people will never know about the adjustments when the only way to get the yearly figure is to add all the current weekly data together lol.

Well i just checked out the yearly hardware data in the Charts tab and Switch 2020 total says 28,293,919.

Didn't realise you could change the chart to yearly instead of weekly. But this 28.2m figure includes week ending 4th Jan 2020 so it is a 53 week period instead of 52 weeks.

The figures I posted are the same numbers used by VGC for it's year-on-year comparison, 52 weeks for 2020, 52 weeks for 2021.

"2020 – (Week ending January 11 to November 21)

2021 – (Week ending January 9 to November 20)"

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch Sales Comparison Charts Through November 20 (vgchartz.com)

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 03 December 2021

Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database

Zippy6 on 14 December 2021

4 weeks left to go... my 26m-26.5m looks like it has no chance of succeeding now, Switch will sell under 26m units this year.

WeekSwitch 2020 TotalSwitch 2021 TotalDifference
1319,898476,208156,310
2597,460913,266315,806
3845,5781,273,694428,116
41,098,8961,629,431530,535
51,391,8441,994,883603,039
61,660,5562,494,674834,118
71,891,2722,920,2271,028,955
82,136,4933,333,1321,196,639
92,422,2273,761,7491,339,522
102,803,6184,186,8731,383,255
113,837,0114,665,551828,540
124,630,3555,447,805817,450
135,206,9525,974,359767,407
145,792,7846,374,010581,226
156,297,1106,765,033467,923
166,841,8457,162,513320,668
177,286,5077,616,588330,081
187,889,3587,976,45884,100
198,273,0188,367,75688,738
208,643,7768,741,98689,210
219,060,9679,074,5711,604
229,432,6819,422,561-22,120
239,790,1959,756,426-45,769
2410,166,46310,090,032-88,431
2510,562,45010,428,115-146,335
2610,912,65210,778,455-146,197
2711,271,77511,105,784-177,991
2811,674,33911,419,146-267,193
2912,095,30211,719,980-387,322
3012,432,09012,002,633-441,457
3112,877,86912,294,147-595,722
3213,303,86212,604,080-711,782
3313,661,27812,895,603-777,675
3414,033,17713,179,421-865,756
3514,399,47813,459,006-952,472
3614,797,87013,747,010-1,062,860
3715,303,60014,020,488-1,295,112
3815,708,07714,279,789-1,440,288
3916,111,21114,528,647-1,594,564
4016,642,21715,390,561-1,263,656
4117,162,26615,768,455-1,405,811
4217,652,45316,242,934-1,421,519
4318,171,13516,667,449-1,515,686
4418,771,07317,145,413-1,636,660
4519,388,94917,673,045-1,725,904
4620,136,49018,407,716-1,728,774
4721,817,23119,897,223-1,920,008
4823,074,01921,083,467-1,990,552
4924,475,118
5025,995,554
5127,153,548
5227,834,889

Switch is going to sell between 25m-25.5m this year.



Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database