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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - OLED Switch - Week 7 Predictions (Week 6 was 529k)

 

OLED Switch - Week 7 Prediction (All Switches Globally)

$ < 500k 0 0%
 
500k < $ < 550k 0 0%
 
550k < $ < 600k 0 0%
 
600k < $ < 650k 3 25.00%
 
650k < $ < 700k 2 16.67%
 
700k < $ < 750k 2 16.67%
 
750k < $ < 800k 2 16.67%
 
800k < $ < 850k 2 16.67%
 
850k < $ < 900k 0 0%
 
900k < $ 1 8.33%
 
Total:12
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I'm going with 400-450k, but it feels like reading tea leaves at this point. Who knows which week will get a surprise bigger shipment?

I agree man, doing predictions at this levels shows how little we really know about sales.



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Famitsu numbers for week 5 are out.

Week 4 (Japan): 74,803
Week 5 (Japan): 90,517

Globally week 5 has the potential to be back above 500k.



So, let me think. Week 5 is the week ending November 6, right? Famitsu numbers look good. I'm still cautious this time, because last week I was way too optimistic, hahaha. And there wasn't a restock because of the Mario Party release. So I say 450 - 500k for week 5.

Last edited by siebensus4 - on 11 November 2021

siebensus4 said:

So, let me think. Week 5 is the week ending November 6, right? Famitsu numbers look good. I'm still cautious this time, because last week I was way too optimistic, hahaha. And there wasn't a restock because of the Mario Party release. So I say 450 - 500k for week 5.

There's the Pokémon Switch Lite in week 5 though. So who knows?



Week 5 numbers added... also slightly changed numbers for the other weeks.

Week 1 - 862k
Week 2 - 378k
Week 3 - 474k
Week 4 - 425k
Week 5 - 479k



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That's alot of small adjustments.



Kakadu18 said:

That's alot of small adjustments.

Week 1 wasn't adjusted I think, I just rounded down when I should have rounded up when I posted last time. But yeah every other week has been adjusted up/down a few k each.



Thanks for the numbers Zippy6!

Here is the voting result for week 5:

The result was 479k, meaning 8 of 11 (72%) people got it right this week, good job!

I'm putting up the new poll for week 6.

PS: For week 6, I am revising my prediction from 800k down to 575k, but still an upswing from this week's 479k, which was up from the week prior's 422k.

Last edited by padib - on 16 November 2021

Last year Week 5 was 518k and Week 6 was 599k....

So I would be tempted to guess 500-550k but it all depends on stock...

I'm going to stick with 450-500k for Week 6.

Will find out if they got a decent shipment when Famitsu numbers come out.



Going with 550-600k. They should start getting some more stock out.