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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - OLED Switch - Closing poll, thank you for participating - Christmas week (Week 12 was 1.083M)

 

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derpysquirtle64 on 23 November 2021
Zippy6 said:
derpysquirtle64 said:

So, now is the time for Black Friday week? I'll go with 800-850 then

Next is week before black friday (week ending 20th) and blackfriday is 26th.

But amazon uk already have blackfriday switch bundles up today lol.

Whatever, will risk with high numbers prediction anyway



 

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Kakadu18 on 23 November 2021
Zippy6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I'm voting 700-750k, but that's a total shot in the dark.  It seems to me that whatever they ship they are going to sell.  Same goes for the following week which includes Black Friday.

Nintendo should divert more stock of the standard switch from EU to USA. Switch is always in stock in Europe (not oled).

Amazon UK has it's black friday offers up right now and it's still not sold out here.

The Mario Kart bundle is sold out on Amazon Germany already.

Going with 650-700k. Hope for some more stock for Pokémon.



Zippy6 on 24 November 2021
Kakadu18 said:
Zippy6 said:

Nintendo should divert more stock of the standard switch from EU to USA. Switch is always in stock in Europe (not oled).

Amazon UK has it's black friday offers up right now and it's still not sold out here.

The Mario Kart bundle is sold out on Amazon Germany already.

£270 here for Switch + MK8 + 3 months online + Rayman Legends (RRP of Switch is £260) on Amazon UK. Amazing deals but not sold out while other places are selling out even without deals, so they should be sending more stock elsewhere not the UK.

I imagine it'll have to sell out in the UK with a few more days though with deals like that, just surprised it's taking so long with BF deals while America etc are having stock issues before deals even happen.

So I feel like other countries have been screwed on the amount of units they've been given relative to demand.



Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database

Zippy6 on 25 November 2021

Japan Sales: 167.7k
Japan Sales (2020): 179.1k

Global Sales: ???
Global Sales (2020): 747k

Looks like 700-750k might be the winner.



Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database

Kakadu18 on 25 November 2021
Zippy6 said:

Japan Sales: 167.7k
Japan Sales (2020): 179.1k

Global Sales: ???
Global Sales (2020): 747k

Looks like 700-750k might be the winner.

I hope so, even tough I kinda doubt that. Supply is really tight.



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siebensus4 on 25 November 2021

I go all in and say 800 - 850k for OLED model week 7.

Pokémon should push the hell out of it and there should be some restock with Pokémon bundles.



kenjab on 29 November 2021

@padib - I think your poll choices for next week are too low. Switch did over 1.6M last year on Black Friday week, so you should at least have choices to that point, IMO.



Switch: SW-3707-5131-3911
XBox: Kenjabish

Kakadu18 on 29 November 2021

I'm going with 1.5mil. Lower than last year but still high.



The_Liquid_Laser on 29 November 2021
The_Liquid_Laser said:
padib said:

I hope so, but unless they prepared reserve stock in advance it seems like they are reacting to demand so it's hard to predict if their capacity increased. Given the short timeframe of these events I would speculate that they didn't have enough time to predict for week 7 and are still catching up, perhaps ramping up production but that kind of change can take time. We'll see! :)

Here are the vote results for week 6

I'm going to guess that week 7 is going to be severely supply constrained against Friday's launch of pokemons Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl. I'll go with an absolute emptying of stock at 750k. (my start prediction was 900k)

I'm voting 700-750k, but that's a total shot in the dark.  It seems to me that whatever they ship they are going to sell.  Same goes for the following week which includes Black Friday.

Woohoo, I actually guessed right one one of these crazy unpredictable weeks.

For next week I voted 1.225m - 1.3m.  Switch could sell more, but I just don't think the supply is there, at least not in the US.



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Zippy6 on 30 November 2021

Switch was up YoY in the UK next week. But I think the huge amount of stock in the UK was an exception to other countries.

UK got the stock for BF deals to last multiple days without selling out and allow it to have its best week ever, I don't think other countries got enough stock to be up YoY.

I'm going to go with 1.3-1.375m



Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database