We just got back from voting. Turnout seems to be great so far, much bigger than for the provincial elections.

My kid did his own 'poll' last week counting election signs. 51 Conservative signs, 36 Liberal and only 1 NDP in our surroundings. 338 poll also has conservative in the lead, 50% / 41% / 6%, 90% chance for conservatives to win. Anyway 9% gap is not impossible to overcome, we did our part :)



Country wide Liberal is expected to win 39% CPC / 43% LPC / 8% NDP, so looking like another Liberal + NDP coalition.

Interesting shift between the Ontario provincial election results in February and now:
From 43% PCP, 30% Lib, 19% NDP to projected 40% CPC / 47% Lib / 8% NDP

Mostly NDP voters projected to shift to Liberal.

Any live Canadian election results? I'm watching this one almost as closely as I was the U.S. election.

Also, watching the upcoming Australian election.

On TV ;)

Here's a live tracker
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/

Official page (getting hammered, slow to load)
https://enr.elections.ca/National.aspx?lang=e

And here is CTV news live
https://www.ctvnews.ca/video/live/2025/04/28/live-ctv-news-special-election-2025/

Or via YouTube

Its still not totally finalized yet but it's definitely a 4th consecutive (10 yrs ongoing) Liberal Federal Government with Carney as PM now. Minority at the moment, but could become majority maybe, if the Libs and NDP end up with enough seats together to form a coalition, and they just might.

It's also looking like somehow, someway, Pierre is going to lose his own seat in his own riding. Yet his overall performance was considerably better than the polls were suggesting.

This election looks like a mess, and it's not a surprise because the Country is a mess.

I know the meme is out of context based on what happened. It's funny though because it's so spot on overall however.

It's too bad. I'd like to shake his hand. I'd like to shake all their hands.

This was the first time I was ever excited to vote. Yet after seeing the polls change after JT stepped down and Trump started trolling CAN, while I did assume it was more likely to be slanted polling, leading to a somewhat similar outcome to the most recent USA elections, I was also worried it could also be a 2020 scenario where it physically looked like Trump should win, but the majority that time was silent once again and voted Biden. So I felt if the Cons aren't going to win a majority, which certainly wasn't guaranteed, then it would be better in that case to refrain from voting, hoping the Libs win a minority or majority. JT already started the fire, might as well let Carney pour gas on it since nobody thinks we should call the fire dept, due to the news saying it's ok because it's mostly peaceful.

For being so against 45, 47, and 51, they're doing a spectacular job of pushing parts of the Country towards something like that. I thought I understood why Americans voted for DJT in 2016 and again in 2024, but now I'm starting to feel why as well, as are so many others. The pendulum is going to swing hard when it does, or the cable is going to break, one or the other.

Looks like the LPC won:

How is it affecting the NDP of losing official party status due to dropping below 12 seats? Can the liberals still make a coalition with them or do they need to rely on the Block Quebecois now?

The NDP can still prop up Carney’s government even without official party status. That said, Carney might not bother with any sort of formal coalition seeing how they’re only a half-dozen or so seats off a majority, and the Bloc typically don’t bother voting on things that don’t affect Quebec.

Thanks for the clarification for a non-canadian like me

Just three months ago, the Conservatives were projected to win 230 seats, the most in Canadian history. The Liberals went on snatch victory from the jaws of certain defeat and actually extended their lead from the last election from 160 to 166 or 167 (projected) seats.
Not only did the Liberals win, but Conservative leader Pierre Poilivre lost his seat.
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh lost his seat and has officially stepped down as NDP leader.

168 seats for Liberals, now.

As a bit of trivia, 43.5% of the popular vote. This is the highest percentage of the popular vote in 41 years.