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https://www.resetera.com/threads/july-2021-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-august-10th.465468/page-2#post-72161289

Switch > 397k
PS5 250-300K
XBS 152-170K



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Tagging for later



Pretty good July for PS5.



So if we were to assume that the Switch had an average revenue of 275$ per unit sold and 475$ per PS5 sold. The best the Switch could've sold is 500k if the PS5 sold 300k, which is the peak range of this sales leak. So the Switch sold somewhere between 397k-500k units in the U.S in July.



Anyone have numbers to see how Switch is doing YoY?
I know we dont have exact numbers but curious how its comparing based on the rough estimates that we have.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

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Shadow1980 said:
brute said:

Anyone have numbers to see how Switch is doing YoY?
I know we dont have exact numbers but curious how its comparing based on the rough estimates that we have.

Based on the best numbers we do have, for Jan.-July, approximately 3.7M, give or take. Total Switch sales in the same period of 2020 were 3.65M. So, as of the end of July the Switch's 2021 may be slightly ahead of its 2020.

However, it's worth pointing out that back in May its 2021 was behind its 2020 by about 100k or so, and it caught back up because June & July 2020 were relatively slow months for the Switch compared to adjacent months, almost certainly because of stock issues. August, September, and October are in 2020's favor, as each one was substantially better than ~100k weekly average we've been seeing the past several months. The Switch sold 1910k in that period last year, an average of 147k/week. If the Switch continues to average around 100k/week, then its 2021 will likely fall back behind its 2020 by the end of September, and unless the OLED is an absolute juggernaut that pushes October to 900k-1M, then the Switch's 2021 is likely going to remain behind its 2020 by the end of October.

Thanks! Seems it will be a close one if this holiday can top last years.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

Shadow1980 said:
brute said:

Anyone have numbers to see how Switch is doing YoY?
I know we dont have exact numbers but curious how its comparing based on the rough estimates that we have.

Based on the best numbers we do have, for Jan.-July, approximately 3.7M, give or take. Total Switch sales in the same period of 2020 were 3.65M. So, as of the end of July the Switch's 2021 may be slightly ahead of its 2020.

However, it's worth pointing out that back in May its 2021 was behind its 2020 by about 100k or so, and it caught back up because June & July 2020 were relatively slow months for the Switch compared to adjacent months, almost certainly because of stock issues. August, September, and October are in 2020's favor, as each one was substantially better than ~100k weekly average we've been seeing the past several months. The Switch sold 1910k in that period last year, an average of 147k/week. If the Switch continues to average around 100k/week, then its 2021 will likely fall back behind its 2020 by the end of September, and unless the OLED is an absolute juggernaut that pushes October to 900k-1M, then the Switch's 2021 is likely going to remain behind its 2020 by the end of October.

I agree with August and September, but October has both the new Switch model and a new Metroid title early in the month, so this will certainly be much more competitive despite last year's high sales numbers.

Will it be enough to catch up again to last year's numbers YTD? That might be a bit harder, but it doesn't have to, as the holiday season is more packed this year and as such will probably push more sales than the lackluster holiday season last year managed to do.



When the 2nd best selling game of 2021 is a baseball game, you know it has been a slow year.



There is Mario Party Superstars as well, but not sure what, if any, impact it will have.

Then there are some smaller titles as well such as Fatal frame, advance war among others.

I think BF deals and Christmas deals will be key in determining if 202q will beat 2020.

Either way. Finishing within 5-10% should be seen as a huge win without a "pro" model or official price cut.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

It's looking like another holiday season without Xbox/PS5 stock! There's going to be some disappointment :(