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Forums - Sales - Will Switch outsell DS? PS2? Or neither?

 

Will Switch outsell PS2 and/or DS?

Yes, it will outsell PS2's (~159Million) 100 57.47%
 
Will outsell the DS, but not the PS2 74 42.53%
 
Switch will fall short of both DS & PS2 0 0%
 
Total:174
tbone51 on 26 April 2021
xMetroid said:

They slated Switch was entering it's midlife last year, i highly doubt they will release the Pro as a "successor" a year or so after that statement they actually said like 3 times. Some sources said It appears that they might give up the regular model after a year or 2 to focus on the revision. But i doubt they would give up on the potential to sell the original Switch model at a much lower cost to attract the more budgetary audience. Which let's be real, i'm sure the Switch could be sold at 200$ right now and they would still profit. It is 4 years old and in mass production and they had a profit from the start on each units. I do think they might give it a price cut this year, you don't have to wait till the sales are down to act on it. Reducing the price before hand would make sure the momentum doesn't slow down.

I do think if they release a pro model this year, then a price drop for both the lite and og are mandatory. I can't see them selling the revision to more than 350$... maybe it will end up being 399 but i highly doubt they will venture there knowing this is the price of a PS5 digital edition and 100$ higher than a Series S. And so with 350$, the OG cannot coexist at it's original price, it would be literally pointless. So i expect a price cut for the OG to 250$, and Switch lite to 175$ or 150$ if they feel bold. 

If NSW pro is near as powerful as a PS4 pro/similar then they definitely can sell it for $400 while keeping the price for the other 2 systems. If a pro doesn’t release this year, NSW is still going to ship over 25mil this year, you don’t cut the price off the next model which hardcore fans and better tech want. NSW is sold out, $400 would target another audience that isn’t crossing over the consumers who are going to purchase the 200/300 sku systems. In fact OG >>> Lite despite the 100 difference.

......



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MasonADC on 26 April 2021

i hope not, only cause that would mean Switch 2 will be delayed soooo much. I want it in late 2023.



heavenmercenary01 on 26 April 2021
MasonADC said:

i hope not, only cause that would mean Switch 2 will be delayed soooo much. I want it in late 2023.

Actually, i want it to be delayed for a better first party support on Switch (other than remasters and remakes).

The platform is lacking major releases (DK, Metroid, Pikmin, Mario Football, 2D mario, Mario Kart etc...)  and why not minor ones with the revival of old and presumabely "unwanted" franchises ( StarFox, F-Zero, Golden Sun, Kid Icarus ...).

Games that will arrive later on the system have to sell well (and i am concerned about Metroid as a franchise more than anything else) that's why, the more time they get the more beneficial it will be for them. Also Nintendo will need some time to make the transition to the next generation. So time is also compulsory.

That's why, the more wait we'll have till the next switch the more support from Nintendo we'll be having for the current generation.



curl-6 on 26 April 2021

Yeah, I'd rather the Switch not be replaced until late 2023 at the earliest so that we get another 2 and a half years more of proper support to build up its library. It has the potential to become the best system Nintendo has ever released and it would suck for it to be cut short of reaching that.

As to the topic, I don't expect Switch to outsell PS2, but if they wait until late 2023 or later to replace it, and support it properly until then, I think it can reach 140-150 million.



xMetroid on 26 April 2021
tbone51 said:
xMetroid said:

They slated Switch was entering it's midlife last year, i highly doubt they will release the Pro as a "successor" a year or so after that statement they actually said like 3 times. Some sources said It appears that they might give up the regular model after a year or 2 to focus on the revision. But i doubt they would give up on the potential to sell the original Switch model at a much lower cost to attract the more budgetary audience. Which let's be real, i'm sure the Switch could be sold at 200$ right now and they would still profit. It is 4 years old and in mass production and they had a profit from the start on each units. I do think they might give it a price cut this year, you don't have to wait till the sales are down to act on it. Reducing the price before hand would make sure the momentum doesn't slow down.

I do think if they release a pro model this year, then a price drop for both the lite and og are mandatory. I can't see them selling the revision to more than 350$... maybe it will end up being 399 but i highly doubt they will venture there knowing this is the price of a PS5 digital edition and 100$ higher than a Series S. And so with 350$, the OG cannot coexist at it's original price, it would be literally pointless. So i expect a price cut for the OG to 250$, and Switch lite to 175$ or 150$ if they feel bold. 

If NSW pro is near as powerful as a PS4 pro/similar then they definitely can sell it for $400 while keeping the price for the other 2 systems. If a pro doesn’t release this year, NSW is still going to ship over 25mil this year, you don’t cut the price off the next model which hardcore fans and better tech want. NSW is sold out, $400 would target another audience that isn’t crossing over the consumers who are going to purchase the 200/300 sku systems. In fact OG >>> Lite despite the 100 difference.

......

OG outperforms the lite because it has the main experience the Switch is loved for, being hybrid. So that 100$ difference is worth it. But with the pro, maybe you're right idk.. but they really would not anticipate to sell a lot of them if they really just release it at 400$ cause that's 100$ more than launch price for the Switch. Nintendo likes to be aggressive with pricing most times, and i don't see how they would not do some profits even at 350$. 

Maybe they won't cut the price off, but to me that would make sure they keep the momentum going strong. You don't need to start having a rough year before cutting your price, it's even that way you lose momentum and can't bring it back up. I don't think it will be a good idea to keep the original price and release a pro at 400$ when you have next gen starting to show off their guns. They should cut the price while the Switch is still hot, so like this summer.



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Metallox on 26 April 2021

If it does, I'm gonna buy and play Balan Wonderworld for 50 hours. Who wants to bet?



My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first. 

spynx on 27 April 2021
KLXVER said:

I thought it said "Will Smith outsell PS2" for a second. lol

But to answer the question, no, I dont think it will.

Lol! you made my day



Check this Game  DropBall Sort 3d

AJNShelton on 27 April 2021
Metallox said:

If it does, I'm gonna buy and play Balan Wonderworld for 50 hours. Who wants to bet?

Don't go this far



Eagle367 on 27 April 2021
Metallox said:

If it does, I'm gonna buy and play Balan Wonderworld for 50 hours. Who wants to bet?

Hey you said it. And we will hold you responsible if it happens. I think there's the most probable chance it ends up anywhere from 1st to 3rd best of all time. Only time will tell. As Norion showed, 140mil with bad drops year over year is easily achievable and as I showed, getting to 153mil isn't as crazy as it seems ok first thought.



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

Elputoxd on 27 April 2021

What Nintendo should worry about is Switch 2. The last time they thought their new brands ("DS" and "Wii") and backwards compatibility alone would bring success they got a console that sold less than half what the console that came before it did (3DS' 75 million vs DS' 155 million) and a colossal flop (Wii U), so Switch 2 is not a guaranteed success and I fear they might become complacent. Not to mention the flop that was the PS Vita, succesor to a very succesful console and with backwards compatibility, low price and portability too. Still a huge flop.

I say this becuse I see tons of people thinking that Switch 2 is a guaranteed success and that Nintendo shouldn't worry too much about anything. I trust them to be smart and pay attention to the market.