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Forums - Sales Discussion - Sell-through expectations for Switch in 2021?

 

Sell-through expectations for Switch in 2021?

Less than 15 million 52 5.36%
 
15.0 - 17.4 million 56 5.77%
 
17.5 - 19.9 million 97 10.00%
 
20.0 - 22.4 million 217 22.37%
 
22.5 - 24.9 million 176 18.14%
 
25.0 - 27.4 million 165 17.01%
 
27.5 - 29.9 million 71 7.32%
 
30.0 - 32.4 million 61 6.29%
 
32.5 - 35.0 million 11 1.13%
 
More than 35 million 64 6.60%
 
Total:970

25-27m - I think a strong 2021 software lineup coupled with a new Switch hardware model, a permanent price drop and continued growth in Asia will maintain high Switch sales.



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20m



I expect growth so lets say 35 million



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

I think this will actually be the Switch's peak year, not 2020. As such, I think we will see sales somewhere from 30 to 32m.



 SW-5120-1900-6153

Somewhere between 23 to 25 million. Joins DS as the only platforms in history to have more than two 20 million years right?



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I'd say 25-26 million if the line-up is good.

Bonus question: Breath of the Wild's sequel.



xPhenom08x said:

Somewhere between 23 to 25 million. Joins DS as the only platforms in history to have more than two 20 million years right?

No, the Wii had two calendar years above 20m. I am unsure about the PS2, it could have had either one or two years above 20m, but we only have Sony's funky shipment data from back then; Sony didn't report sales to retailers, but rather production, so deriving sell-through from Sony's PS2 shipment data includes some additional guesswork.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

About 22 million. Switch will hit 100 million in Q1 2022.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

30-32.4 million. It will either be Switch's peak year or more or less match FY 2020.



Lower than 2020, still highest Console in 2021 and after that it´ll start the normal decline until the next gen system arrives and be 2nd place until 2024/2025.