Yeah third parties are slowly starting to smell the roses and next year titles like Monster Hunter Rise and Stories 2, Shin Megami Tensei V, Rune Factory 5, and according to leaks a new Resident Evil are coming.
2021 will absolutely dwarf 2017-2020 in terms of third party Switch games in Japan.
Third Parties on Amazon.co.jp - Holiday Edition
Top 5
Momotaro is King in the early days of Week 52(expected to be the biggest holiday week of this year due to official holidays)
Age of Calamity is holding very well, the game will probably surpass 350K physical by Week 1, 2021. If it can get another 125K sales in 2021 it would become the Best Selling game for Koei Tecmo physically in Japan since their merger.
Sakuna will surpass 100K physical this year, game is continuing to do extremely well for it's scope and it can end up with over 200K physical sales if momentum continues in 2021.
eBaseball, will finish with over 400K physical sales on the Switch alone, combining with the PS4 version we are looking at 600K, taking the game very close to Winning Eleven 2010's lifetime total of 641K(top selling Sport game for Konami in the last decade)
Monster Hunter Rise seems to be a popular item three months before officially launching, but that was expected, after the holidays are over Monster Hunter Rise will have a consistent Top 10 ranking in Amazon, until it launches.
Last edited by noshten - on 22 December 2020
| noshten said: Sakuna will surpass 100K physical this year, game is continuing to do extremely well for it's scope and it can end up with over 200K physical sales if momentum continues in 2021. |
Imagine if they'd actually provided adequate supply of Sakuna on Switch instead of it being sold out for weeks.
A box plot I created to show both how eventful 2020 has been for weekly sales in Japan and also how uneventful 2018 was.
curl-6 said:
Imagine if they'd actually provided adequate supply of Sakuna on Switch instead of it being sold out for weeks. |
Marvelous at least was able to provide a second shipment, for a much smaller publisher they are much faster to react than Square - who basically limited how much Octopath & Trials of Mana could sell on the Switch.
Overall it was a game that prior to launching, few could have expected it might become one of their top selling games. Yet with digital it's likely to finish with more sales than Harvest Moon: Island of Happiness which sold 304K on the DS.
But it's a sign of things to come for them, Marvelous is the publisher that seems to be poised for the biggest growth in the next couple of years. In the past they've been niche in Japan with games rarely surpassing 200K in recent years. So Sakuna is pretty huge success for them already - as the game is also doing extremely well in South Korea(probably Taiwan as well).
This year should easily match last year's performance due to sales of Sakuna, Rune Factory 4 Special & Friends of Mineral Town.
Marvelous 2020 Famitsu:
TOTAL: 148.967*
Marvelous 2019 Top 100:
TOTAL: 229.593
Marvelous 2018 Top 100:
TOTAL: 172.788
Marvelous 2017 Top 100:
TOTAL: 64.771
Marvelous 2016 Top 100:
TOTAL: 573.441
Marvelous 2015 Top 100:
TOTAL: 146.458
Marvelous 2014 Top 100:
TOTAL: 243.000
Overall Marvelous has it's biggest franchises launching next year and they've also find success with some of their legacy content. By the end of 2021, I expect their best selling games of all time to be entirely Switch games. It's a bit unfortunate how Harvest Moon name is owned by another company that is trying to leech off Story of Seasons, the series was titled Harvest Moon between 1996 and 2013. Also I think they will blow 2016 which is their most succesful year since the PS4 launch out of the water as Olive Town alone might do more than the Top 3 Games that year.
Top 10 Marvelous All Time:
As we can see Friends of Mineral Town is likely already very close to being a Top 5 of all time game for Marvelous. As, I anticipate it surpassed 200K this year outside the Famitsu Top 30 due to the popularity of New Horizon.
Now Olive Town and Rune Factory 5 are definitely poised to become franchise records if their WoM is good, while Sakuna with digital should also overtake Island of Happiness.
I really think that Marvelous YoY growth in 2021 will be huge and they will surpass 1 million physical software in Japan. Xseed is teasing two more games for 2021:
XSEED Games 2020 recap trailer teases Akiba’s Trip: Hellbound & Debriefed, Potionomics, and two unannounced titles for 2021 https://t.co/ulXiDgfnYo pic.twitter.com/pMeCIX7U3k
— Gematsu (@gematsucom) December 21, 2020
nintedo this holiday, selling as much as last year without any new first party titles be like:
*Stonks*
On another note, the LACK of titles this year makes it kinda obvious that next year is probably going to be BIG. and it starts off HUGE with MHR.
If they manage to get us a sinnoh remake and either zelda or mario.... ALONGSIDE a switch pro next year....
needless to say next year can potentially be something unprecedednted
| TheBraveGallade said: On another note, the LACK of titles this year makes it kinda obvious that next year is probably going to be BIG. and it starts off HUGE with MHR. |
We do know of several medium sized games like No More Heroes 3 and Bravely Default II that were supposed to be 2020 releases but got pushed back, and it's even been rumored that MHR was originally a holiday title for this year, so it's likely some larger projects were also delayed to 2021.
『桃太郎電鉄 ～昭和 平成 令和も定番！～』は
— 発売中！『桃太郎電鉄 ～昭和 平成 令和も定番！～』公式アカウント (@MOMOTETSU_Reiwa) December 24, 2020
【累計出荷本数150万本】を突破しました！?
社長の皆さん、ありがとうございます！?
気づけば今年もあと少し。
みなさんはどう過ごされますか？
年末年始は、おうちで桃鉄もオススメですよ！??#桃鉄令和
PDiddy said:
|
Bloody hell, 1.5 million!?
This thing's not a beast, it's a leviathan.
curl-6 said:
Bloody hell, 1.5 million!? This thing's not a beast, it's a leviathan. |
We still have the week of Christmas Eve left in tracking; it might reach 2 million by years end.
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